We log each prediction before kick-off — odds and all — and never touch it again. Wins and losses, in the open. Measured by closing line value — one of the strongest publicly measurable leading indicators of a long-term edge.
18 predictions voided (match postponed, cancelled or never played) — excluded from every figure on this page, never deleted from the ledger.
Filtered view — 1839 predictions match.
odds we took vs the closing line — the sharp benchmark
The full record is published daily to an external, append-only public log (Git history + OpenTimestamps), so it is independently verifiable — not even we can rewrite a past record undetectably. Verify on the public log →
External independent verification has been active since 20 June 2026. Earlier records are preserved in our internal ledger but were not externally timestamped before kick-off.
✈ Follow the live audit on Telegram| Date | Match | Value bet | Soft odds | Fair | Close | CLV | Result | Profit |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Chornomorets — Kryvbas KR · Ukraine Premier League | 2 · Kryvbas KR | 2.37 | 2.30 | 2.18 | +8.7% | Lost | -1.00 | |
| Slovan Bratislava II — Považská Bystrica · Slovakia 2. Liga | 1 · Slovan Bratislava II | 2.43 | 2.38 | 2.22 | +9.5% | Lost | -1.00 | |
| Slavia Praha II — Opava · Czech FNL | 1 · Slavia Praha II | 2.21 | 2.03 | 1.91 | +15.7% | Lost | -1.00 | |
| Monterey Bay — Sacramento Republic · USL Championship | 2 · Sacramento Republic | 2.10 | 2.01 | 1.88 | +11.7% | Lost | -1.00 | |
| New Mexico United — San Antonio · USL Championship | X · Draw | 3.60 | 3.33 | 3.32 | +8.4% | Lost | -1.00 | |
| Alianza Valledupar — Atletico Nacional · Primera A | 2 · Atletico Nacional | 2.12 | 2.04 | 1.91 | +11.0% | Won | +1.12 | |
| El Paso Locomotive — Loudoun United · USL Championship | 1 · El Paso Locomotive | 1.74 | 1.71 | 1.70 | +2.4% | Won | +0.74 | |
| Club America — Puebla · Liga MX | 1 · Club America | 1.40 | 1.36 | 1.53 | -8.5% | Won | +0.40 | |
| Defensor Sporting — Atletico Torque · Uruguay Primera Division | 2 · Atletico Torque | 2.65 | 2.55 | 2.19 | +21.0% | Won | +1.65 | |
| Connecticut FC — New York RB II · MLS Next Pro | 2 · New York RB II | 2.80 | 2.65 | 2.75 | +1.8% | Won | +1.80 | |
| Chattanooga — Carolina Core · MLS Next Pro | 1 · Chattanooga | 1.63 | 1.61 | 1.64 | -0.6% | Won | +0.63 | |
| CF Pachuca — Guadalajara Chivas · Liga MX | 2 · Guadalajara Chivas | 2.45 | 2.39 | 2.30 | +6.5% | Lost | -1.00 | |
| Atlas — Club Queretaro · Liga MX | X · Draw | 3.40 | 3.21 | 3.23 | +5.3% | Lost | -1.00 | |
| Seattle Sounders — Chicago Fire · MLS | 1 · Seattle Sounders | 2.95 | 2.89 | 2.80 | +5.4% | Lost | -1.00 | |
| UTC Cajamarca — Universitario · Peru Liga 1 | 2 · Universitario | 2.30 | 2.17 | 2.27 | +1.3% | Won | +1.30 | |
| Temperley — Colegiales · Primera Nacional | 1 · Temperley | 2.15 | 2.07 | — | — | Won | +1.15 | |
| San Telmo — Los Andes · Primera Nacional | 2 · Los Andes | 3.10 | 2.99 | — | — | Lost | -1.00 | |
| Ferro Carril Oeste — Atletico Mitre · Primera Nacional | 1 · Ferro Carril Oeste | 1.79 | 1.72 | — | — | Lost | -1.00 | |
| Deportivo Madryn — Ciudad de Bolívar · Primera Nacional | 1 · Deportivo Madryn | 1.83 | 1.73 | — | — | Won | +0.83 | |
| Defensores De Belgrano — Racing Cordoba · Primera Nacional | 1 · Defensores De Belgrano | 2.30 | 2.17 | — | — | Won | +1.30 | |
| Colon Santa Fe — Deportivo Moron · Primera Nacional | 1 · Colon Santa Fe | 2.05 | 1.96 | — | — | Lost | -1.00 | |
| Chacarita Juniors — Atlanta · Primera Nacional | 1 · Chacarita Juniors | 2.55 | 2.46 | — | — | Lost | -1.00 | |
| Agropecuario — Atletico DE Rafaela · Primera Nacional | 1 · Agropecuario | 2.07 | 1.93 | — | — | Won | +1.07 | |
| Sportivo Barracas — Deportivo Español · Primera C | X · Draw | 3.00 | 2.79 | — | — | Lost | -1.00 | |
| Defensores de Cambaceres — Deportivo Paraguayo · Primera C | 1 · Defensores de Cambaceres | 2.27 | 2.04 | 1.89 | +20.1% | Lost | -1.00 | |
| Argentino Rosario — Centro Español · Primera C | X · Draw | 3.10 | 2.97 | — | — | Won | +2.10 | |
| El Porvenir — Claypole · Primera C | X · Draw | 3.00 | 2.85 | 2.53 | +18.6% | Lost | -1.00 | |
| Central Ballester — Yupanqui · Primera C | X · Draw | 3.10 | 2.95 | — | — | Lost | -1.00 | |
| Sacachispas — JJ Urquiza · Primera C | 1 · Sacachispas | 1.89 | 1.85 | — | — | Won | +0.89 | |
| Juventud Unida — Mercedes · Primera C | X · Draw | 3.05 | 2.99 | — | — | Lost | -1.00 | |
| Ituzaingó — Dock Sud · Primera B Metropolitana | X · Draw | 3.35 | 3.29 | 2.94 | +13.9% | Lost | -1.00 | |
| Argentino Quilmes — Sportivo Italiano · Primera B Metropolitana | 1 · Argentino Quilmes | 3.45 | 3.21 | 2.92 | +18.2% | Lost | -1.00 | |
| Comunicaciones — Deportivo Merlo · Primera B Metropolitana | 1 · Comunicaciones | 2.16 | 2.01 | — | — | Won | +1.16 | |
| Argentino de Merlo — Villa Dalmine · Primera B Metropolitana | 2 · Villa Dalmine | 2.50 | 2.29 | — | — | Lost | -1.00 | |
| Deportivo Armenio — Villa San Carlos · Primera B Metropolitana | X · Draw | 3.25 | 3.13 | — | — | Lost | -1.00 | |
| Defensores Unidos — Deportivo Camioneros · Primera B Metropolitana | X · Draw | 3.10 | 2.93 | 2.66 | +16.5% | Won | +2.10 | |
| Talleres Remedios — UAI Urquiza · Primera B Metropolitana | 1 · Talleres Remedios | 1.62 | 1.59 | 1.51 | +7.3% | Won | +0.62 | |
| Deportivo Laferrere — Real Pilar · Primera B Metropolitana | X · Draw | 3.10 | 3.05 | 2.76 | +12.3% | Won | +2.10 | |
| Flandria — San Martín Burzaco · Primera B Metropolitana | 1 · Flandria | 2.62 | 2.45 | — | — | Won | +1.62 | |
| Brown DE Adrogue — Liniers · Primera B Metropolitana | 1 · Brown DE Adrogue | 2.35 | 2.12 | 2.03 | +15.8% | Lost | -1.00 | |
| Arsenal Sarandi — Excursionistas · Primera B Metropolitana | X · Draw | 3.20 | 3.15 | 2.83 | +13.1% | Lost | -1.00 | |
| Estrella Del Sur — Victoriano Arenas · Primera C | 1 · Estrella Del Sur | 2.75 | 2.62 | — | — | Lost | -1.00 | |
| Lugano — Berazategui · Primera C | X · Draw | 2.90 | 2.78 | — | — | Won | +1.90 | |
| Fénix — Central Cordoba · Primera C | X · Draw | 2.88 | 2.74 | — | — | Lost | -1.00 | |
| General Lamadrid — Canuelas · Primera C | X · Draw | 3.00 | 2.73 | — | — | Lost | -1.00 | |
| Leandro N. Alem — Puerto Nuevo · Primera C | 2 · Puerto Nuevo | 2.95 | 2.64 | — | — | Won | +1.95 | |
| NK Varazdin — Rudes · Croatia HNL | 1 · NK Varazdin | 1.36 | 1.34 | 1.30 | +4.6% | Won | +0.36 | |
| Cukaricki — Vojvodina · Serbia Super Liga | 2 · Vojvodina | 2.10 | 1.97 | 1.88 | +11.7% | Won | +1.10 | |
| Novi Pazar — Macva · Serbia Super Liga | 1 · Novi Pazar | 1.75 | 1.66 | 1.62 | +8.0% | Lost | -1.00 | |
| Corvinul Hunedoara — Dinamo Bucuresti · Romania Liga I | 2 · Dinamo Bucuresti | 2.34 | 2.27 | 2.19 | +6.8% | Lost | -1.00 |
Nothing here is cherry-picked. Each row was written to our database before the match started and is immutable. CLV — beating the closing price of a sharp bookmaker — is the metric most strongly shown to correlate with a real long-term edge; win rate and short-run profit are mostly noise until the sample is large.