We log each prediction before kick-off — odds and all — and never touch it again. Wins and losses, in the open. Measured by closing line value — one of the strongest publicly measurable leading indicators of a long-term edge.
18 predictions voided (match postponed, cancelled or never played) — excluded from every figure on this page, never deleted from the ledger.
odds we took vs the closing line — the sharp benchmark
The full record is published daily to an external, append-only public log (Git history + OpenTimestamps), so it is independently verifiable — not even we can rewrite a past record undetectably. Verify on the public log →
External independent verification has been active since 20 June 2026. Earlier records are preserved in our internal ledger but were not externally timestamped before kick-off.
✈ Follow the live audit on Telegram| Date | Match | Pick | Odds | Close | CLV | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| GIF Sundsvall — Orebro SK · Superettan | 1/2 | 1.25 | 1.28 | -2.9% | Won | |
| PSV Eindhoven — Shakhtar Donetsk · UEFA Champions League | 1 | 1.42 | 1.51 | -6.0% | Lost | |
| Fenerbahçe — AS Roma · UEFA Champions League | 1/2 | 1.32 | 1.32 | -0.3% | Lost | |
| Super Nova — Tukums · Latvia Virsliga | 1/2 | 1.23 | 1.24 | -0.8% | Won | |
| San Diego — San Jose Earthquakes · MLS | 1/2 | 1.21 | 1.24 | -2.5% | Won | |
| Portland Timbers — St. Louis City · MLS VALUE → | 1/2 | 1.27 | 1.27 | -0.1% | Lost | |
| Los Angeles FC — New York Red Bulls · MLS | 1 | 1.40 | 1.40 | +0.0% | Won | |
| Vancouver Whitecaps — Los Angeles Galaxy · MLS | 1 | 1.33 | 1.33 | +0.0% | Won | |
| North Texas — Houston Dynamo FC II · MLS Next Pro | 1/2 | 1.22 | 1.22 | +0.4% | Won | |
| Estudiantes L.P. — Corinthians · Copa Libertadores | 1/X | 1.28 | 1.26 | +1.0% | Won | |
| Austin — Colorado Rapids · MLS | 1/2 | 1.32 | 1.34 | -1.7% | Lost | |
| Minnesota United FC — FC Dallas · MLS VALUE → | 1/2 | 1.25 | 1.28 | -2.7% | Won | |
| Chicago Fire — Inter Miami · MLS | 1/2 | 1.24 | 1.26 | -2.0% | Lost | |
| Houston Dynamo — Real Salt Lake · MLS | 1 | 1.74 | 2.01 | -13.4% | Won | |
| Atletico Goianiense — Ceara · Brazil Serie B | 1/X | 1.22 | 1.14 | +6.7% | Won | |
| Huntsville City — Chattanooga · MLS Next Pro VALUE → | 1/2 | 1.21 | 1.20 | +0.9% | Won | |
| Deportes Copiapo — Magallanes · Chile Primera B VALUE → | 1/2 | 1.26 | 1.26 | +0.5% | Lost | |
| Deportes Iquique — Deportes Santa Cruz · Chile Primera B VALUE → | 1 | 1.55 | 1.61 | -3.7% | Lost | |
| DC United — Columbus Crew · MLS VALUE → | 1/2 | 1.30 | 1.32 | -1.3% | Won | |
| CF Montreal — Charlotte · MLS | 1/2 | 1.27 | 1.28 | -1.4% | Won | |
| Atlanta United FC — Orlando City SC · MLS | 1/2 | 1.25 | 1.28 | -2.2% | Won | |
| New York City FC — New England Revolution · MLS | 1/2 | 1.27 | 1.32 | -3.6% | Won | |
| Toronto FC — Nashville SC · MLS | 1/2 | 1.30 | 1.31 | -0.7% | Won | |
| Philadelphia Union — FC Cincinnati · MLS VALUE → | 1 | 1.67 | 1.68 | -0.6% | Won | |
| Operario-PR — CRB · Brazil Serie B VALUE → | 1/2 | 1.32 | 1.35 | -2.5% | Won | |
| America Mineiro — Nautico Recife · Brazil Serie B | 1/2 | 1.34 | 1.35 | -0.6% | Won | |
| Botafogo SP — Novorizontino · Brazil Serie B VALUE → | 1/2 | 1.36 | 1.36 | +0.1% | Won | |
| Fortaleza EC — Avai · Brazil Serie B VALUE → | 1 | 1.54 | 1.51 | +2.0% | Won | |
| Santos — Atletico-MG · Copa Sudamericana VALUE → | 1/X | 1.27 | 1.32 | -3.7% | Won | |
| Palmeiras — LDU de Quito · Copa Libertadores VALUE → | 1 | 1.23 | 1.32 | -6.8% | Won | |
| Recoleta — San Marcos de Arica · Chile Primera B | 1/2 | 1.32 | 1.30 | +1.0% | Won | |
| Moreirense — Benfica · Primeira Liga VALUE → | 2 | 1.15 | 1.13 | +1.8% | Won | |
| Deportivo Santani — Independiente F.b.c. · Paraguay Division Intermedia | 1/X | 1.21 | 1.19 | +2.5% | Lost | |
| HK Kopavogur — Fylkir · 1. Deild | 1/2 | 1.22 | 1.22 | +0.0% | Won | |
| Napoli — Arsenal · UEFA Champions League VALUE → | X/2 | 1.23 | 1.15 | +6.7% | Won | |
| Sporting CP — Galatasaray · UEFA Champions League | 1/X | 1.26 | 1.18 | +6.6% | Won | |
| Liverpool — Atletico Madrid · UEFA Champions League | 1 | 1.75 | 1.78 | -1.7% | Won | |
| Paris Saint Germain — Slovan Bratislava · UEFA Champions League VALUE → | 1 | 1.03 | 1.04 | -1.0% | Won | |
| Charlton — QPR · Championship | 1/2 | 1.30 | 1.35 | -3.8% | Lost | |
| Norwich — Birmingham · Championship VALUE → | 1/X | 1.26 | 1.28 | -1.0% | Won | |
| Derby — West Brom · Championship | 1/2 | 1.29 | 1.35 | -4.1% | Won | |
| Njardvik — Throttur Reykjavik · 1. Deild | 1/2 | 1.25 | 1.26 | -1.0% | Won | |
| United Nordic — IFK Varnamo · Superettan VALUE → | 1/2 | 1.27 | 1.28 | -0.6% | Won | |
| Sandviken — Oddevold · Superettan VALUE → | 1/2 | 1.27 | 1.28 | -0.2% | Won | |
| Landskrona BoIS — Helsingborg · Superettan VALUE → | 1 | 1.75 | 1.79 | -2.2% | Lost | |
| Ljungskile SK — Norrby IF · Superettan | 1/2 | 1.26 | 1.27 | -0.7% | Won | |
| Twente — Telstar · Eredivisie VALUE → | 1 | 1.23 | 1.24 | -0.8% | Won | |
| Barcelona — Feyenoord · UEFA Champions League VALUE → | 1 | 1.10 | 1.08 | +1.9% | Won | |
| VfB Stuttgart — Viking · UEFA Champions League | 1 | 1.24 | 1.23 | +0.8% | Won | |
| Kauno Žalgiris — Suduva Marijampole · Lithuania A Lyga | 1/X | 1.26 | 1.27 | -0.4% | Won |
Nothing here is cherry-picked. Each row was written to our database before the match started and is immutable. CLV — beating the closing price of a sharp bookmaker — is the metric most strongly shown to correlate with a real long-term edge; win rate and short-run profit are mostly noise until the sample is large.