We log each prediction before kick-off — odds and all — and never touch it again. Wins and losses, in the open. Measured by closing line value — one of the strongest publicly measurable leading indicators of a long-term edge.
18 predictions voided (match postponed, cancelled or never played) — excluded from every figure on this page, never deleted from the ledger.
Filtered view — 1820 predictions match.
odds we took vs the closing line — the sharp benchmark
The full record is published daily to an external, append-only public log (Git history + OpenTimestamps), so it is independently verifiable — not even we can rewrite a past record undetectably. Verify on the public log →
External independent verification has been active since 20 June 2026. Earlier records are preserved in our internal ledger but were not externally timestamped before kick-off.
✈ Follow the live audit on Telegram| Date | Match | Value bet | Soft odds | Fair | Close | CLV | Result | Profit |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kasımpaşa — Konyaspor · Süper Lig | 1 · Kasımpaşa | 2.48 | 2.36 | 2.52 | -1.6% | Lost | -1.00 | |
| Lyngby — Silkeborg · Danish Superliga | 1 · Lyngby | 1.74 | 1.69 | 1.86 | -6.5% | Lost | -1.00 | |
| AC Oulu — Inter Turku · Veikkausliiga | 2 · Inter Turku | 2.24 | 2.15 | 1.97 | +13.7% | Won | +1.24 | |
| Gnistan — HJK Helsinki · Veikkausliiga | 2 · HJK Helsinki | 2.08 | 1.91 | 1.80 | +15.6% | Lost | -1.00 | |
| Vysočina Jihlava — Slavia Praha II · Czech FNL | 1 · Vysočina Jihlava | 2.15 | 2.03 | 1.85 | +16.2% | Won | +1.15 | |
| Prostějov — Dukla Praha · Czech FNL | 2 · Dukla Praha | 2.22 | 2.12 | 1.99 | +11.6% | Lost | -1.00 | |
| Karviná — Hanácká · Czech FNL | 1 · Karviná | 1.35 | 1.33 | 1.29 | +4.7% | Won | +0.35 | |
| Lahti — FF Jaro · Veikkausliiga | 1 · Lahti | 1.61 | 1.56 | 1.64 | -1.8% | Lost | -1.00 | |
| Polessya — Kryvbas KR · Ukraine Premier League | 1 · Polessya | 1.44 | 1.32 | 1.29 | +11.6% | Won | +0.44 | |
| Kyzyl-Zhar — Kaisar · Kazakhstan Premier League | 1 · Kyzyl-Zhar | 2.22 | 2.14 | 1.99 | +11.6% | Lost | -1.00 | |
| Chornomorets — Obolon'-Brovar · Ukraine Premier League | 1 · Chornomorets | 2.39 | 2.31 | 2.59 | -7.7% | Lost | -1.00 | |
| Rizhao Yuqi — Yichun Grand Tiger · China League Two | X · Draw | 3.00 | 2.95 | 2.67 | +12.4% | Lost | -1.00 | |
| Flamengo — Independiente del Valle · Copa Libertadores | 1 · Flamengo | 1.38 | 1.31 | 1.27 | +8.7% | Lost | -1.00 | |
| Malaga — Villarreal · La Liga | 2 · Villarreal | 2.15 | 2.10 | 2.19 | -1.8% | Won | +1.15 | |
| Real Sociedad — Bournemouth · UEFA Europa League | 2 · Bournemouth | 2.65 | 2.56 | 2.07 | +28.0% | Won | +1.65 | |
| Juventus — NEC Nijmegen · UEFA Europa League | 1 · Juventus | 1.34 | 1.29 | 1.21 | +10.7% | Won | +0.34 | |
| Plzen — Union St. Gilloise · UEFA Europa League | 1 · Plzen | 2.63 | 2.52 | 2.70 | -2.6% | Lost | -1.00 | |
| Beşiktaş — Marseille · UEFA Europa League | 1 · Beşiktaş | 2.33 | 2.14 | 1.69 | +37.9% | Won | +1.33 | |
| Železničar Pančevo — FK Crvena Zvezda · Serbia Super Liga | 2 · FK Crvena Zvezda | 1.48 | 1.44 | 1.41 | +5.0% | Won | +0.48 | |
| OFI — 1899 Hoffenheim · UEFA Europa League | 2 · 1899 Hoffenheim | 1.53 | 1.44 | 1.33 | +15.0% | Lost | -1.00 | |
| Levski Sofia — Red Bull Salzburg · UEFA Europa League | 1 · Levski Sofia | 3.15 | 3.02 | 3.45 | -8.7% | Lost | -1.00 | |
| Atyrau — Ordabasy · Kazakhstan Premier League | 2 · Ordabasy | 1.65 | 1.51 | 1.43 | +15.4% | Won | +0.65 | |
| FC Astana — Kairat Almaty · Kazakhstan Premier League | 1 · FC Astana | 3.12 | 2.90 | 2.35 | +32.8% | Won | +2.12 | |
| FK Tobol Kostanay — Yelimay Semey · Kazakhstan Premier League | 1 · FK Tobol Kostanay | 2.22 | 2.06 | 2.29 | -3.1% | Lost | -1.00 | |
| Birmingham Legion — New Mexico United · USL Championship | 2 · New Mexico United | 3.20 | 3.12 | 2.66 | +20.3% | Lost | -1.00 | |
| Once Caldas — Deportes Tolima · Primera A | X · Draw | 3.26 | 3.01 | 3.17 | +2.8% | Lost | -1.00 | |
| Botafogo — Gremio · Brazil Serie A | 1 · Botafogo | 1.89 | 1.82 | 1.79 | +5.6% | Won | +0.89 | |
| LDU de Quito — Palmeiras · Copa Libertadores | 2 · Palmeiras | 2.63 | 2.55 | 3.07 | -14.3% | Lost | -1.00 | |
| Barcelona — Racing Santander · La Liga | 1 · Barcelona | 1.13 | 1.09 | 1.07 | +5.6% | Won | +0.13 | |
| Sturm Graz — Rennes · UEFA Europa League | 2 · Rennes | 2.12 | 2.06 | 1.72 | +23.3% | Lost | -1.00 | |
| Olympiakos Piraeus — Jagiellonia · UEFA Europa League | 1 · Olympiakos Piraeus | 1.41 | 1.40 | 1.34 | +5.2% | Won | +0.41 | |
| Hapoel Beer Sheva — Dinamo Zagreb · UEFA Europa League | 2 · Dinamo Zagreb | 2.08 | 2.03 | 1.85 | +12.4% | Lost | -1.00 | |
| Bayer Leverkusen — Celje · UEFA Europa League | 1 · Bayer Leverkusen | 1.22 | 1.21 | 1.05 | +16.2% | Won | +0.22 | |
| Anderlecht — Lyon · UEFA Europa League | 2 · Lyon | 2.16 | 2.08 | 2.40 | -10.0% | Won | +1.16 | |
| Deportivo La Coruna — Sevilla · La Liga | X · Draw | 3.25 | 3.19 | 3.09 | +5.2% | Lost | -1.00 | |
| Waldhof Mannheim — Rot-Weiß Essen · 3. Liga | 2 · Rot-Weiß Essen | 2.48 | 2.35 | 2.19 | +13.2% | Won | +1.48 | |
| Fortuna Köln — SV Wehen · 3. Liga | 1 · Fortuna Köln | 2.74 | 2.61 | 3.08 | -11.0% | Lost | -1.00 | |
| Hansa Rostock — Stuttgart II · 3. Liga | 1 · Hansa Rostock | 1.61 | 1.57 | 1.50 | +7.3% | Won | +0.61 | |
| FC Ingolstadt 04 — Hoffenheim II · 3. Liga | 1 · FC Ingolstadt 04 | 2.15 | 2.00 | 1.96 | +9.7% | Lost | -1.00 | |
| AIK Stockholm — Mjallby AIF · Allsvenskan | 1 · AIK Stockholm | 2.33 | 2.28 | 2.22 | +5.0% | Lost | -1.00 | |
| Ararat-Armenia — Sparta Praha · UEFA Europa League | 2 · Sparta Praha | 1.78 | 1.67 | 1.79 | -0.6% | Won | +0.78 | |
| FK Zalgiris Vilnius — Kauno Žalgiris · Lithuania A Lyga | 2 · Kauno Žalgiris | 2.26 | 2.19 | 2.07 | +9.2% | Lost | -1.00 | |
| Sao Paulo — Boca Juniors · Copa Sudamericana | X · Draw | 3.54 | 3.25 | 2.88 | +22.9% | Won | +2.54 | |
| Chico — Alianza Valledupar · Primera A | 1 · Chico | 2.65 | 2.50 | 1.85 | +43.2% | Lost | -1.00 | |
| Nautico Recife — Operario-PR · Brazil Serie B | 1 · Nautico Recife | 2.07 | 2.02 | 1.96 | +5.6% | Lost | -1.00 | |
| Vasco DA Gama — Santa Fe · Copa Sudamericana | 1 · Vasco DA Gama | 1.60 | 1.52 | 1.40 | +14.3% | Won | +0.60 | |
| Platense — Fluminense · Copa Libertadores | X · Draw | 3.45 | 3.14 | 2.88 | +19.8% | Lost | -1.00 | |
| Elche — Real Madrid · La Liga | 2 · Real Madrid | 1.34 | 1.29 | 1.22 | +9.8% | Won | +0.34 | |
| Atlético Tembetary — Sportivo Carapeguá · Paraguay Division Intermedia | 1 · Atlético Tembetary | 2.27 | 2.24 | 2.05 | +10.7% | Lost | -1.00 | |
| Falkirk — Heart Of Midlothian · Scottish Premiership | 2 · Heart Of Midlothian | 2.00 | 1.95 | 1.93 | +3.6% | Lost | -1.00 |
Nothing here is cherry-picked. Each row was written to our database before the match started and is immutable. CLV — beating the closing price of a sharp bookmaker — is the metric most strongly shown to correlate with a real long-term edge; win rate and short-run profit are mostly noise until the sample is large.