The public ledger

Every call, on the record.

We log each prediction before kick-off — odds and all — and never touch it again. Wins and losses, in the open. Measured by closing line value — one of the strongest publicly measurable leading indicators of a long-term edge.

1,428
Predictions logged
1282
Settled
146
Pending
73%
Hit rate
-0.9%
Avg CLV
36
Value flags live
08 Jun 2026
Tracking since

odds we took vs the closing line — the sharp benchmark

Download the full record: CSV JSON

The full record is published daily to an external, append-only public log (Git history + OpenTimestamps), so it is independently verifiable — not even we can rewrite a past record undetectably. Verify on the public log →

External independent verification has been active since 20 June 2026. Earlier records are preserved in our internal ledger but were not externally timestamped before kick-off.

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Flagged value — cumulative result

+32.3u -7.0u
Jun 2026 -3.45 units, flat stake · flat 1-unit stakes Aug 2026

Performance of flagged value — if you had backed every flag at the odds shown, flat stakes

439
Bets
47%
Win rate
-0.8%
ROI
-3.45
Profit (units, flat stake)
+7.7%
Avg CLV (flagged odds vs close)

The ledger — every settled prediction · odds shown are the prediction pick · logged before kick-off, never edited

Date Match Pick Odds Close CLV Result
Moss — Raufoss · Norway 1. Division 1 1.68 1.67 +0.6% Lost
Asane — Egersund · Norway 1. Division 1/2 1.26 1.25 +1.1% Lost
Strommen — ODD Ballklubb · Norway 1. Division 1/2 1.25 1.27 -1.7% Lost
Sandnes ULF — Kongsvinger · Norway 1. Division 1/2 1.24 1.25 -0.7% Won
Sogndal — Ranheim · Norway 1. Division 1/2 1.24 1.24 +0.6% Won
KFUM Oslo — Molde · Eliteserien VALUE → 1/2 1.30 1.29 +0.9% Won
Sarpsborg 08 FF — Ham-Kam · Eliteserien VALUE → 1 1.74 1.69 +3.0% Won
Sandefjord — Bodo/Glimt · Eliteserien VALUE → 2 1.36 1.34 +1.5% Won
FC ST. Gallen — FC Zurich · Swiss Super League 1 1.65 1.50 +10.0% Won
FC Lugano — FC Vaduz · Swiss Super League 1 1.49 1.57 -5.1% Won
Gais — Halmstad · Allsvenskan VALUE → 1 1.31 1.53 -14.4% Lost
Malmo FF — IF Elfsborg · Allsvenskan 1/2 1.25 1.31 -4.7% Won
Sepsi OSK Sfantu Gheorghe — Universitatea Cluj · Romania Liga I 1/2 1.34 1.37 -1.8% Won
Yelimay Semey — Kaisar · Kazakhstan Premier League VALUE → 1 1.64 1.64 +0.0% Lost
Kairat Almaty — Ordabasy · Kazakhstan Premier League VALUE → 1/X 1.25 1.21 +3.1% Won
FC Copenhagen — Lyngby · Danish Superliga VALUE → 1 1.38 1.42 -2.8% Won
HJK Helsinki — Turku PS · Veikkausliiga 1 1.49 1.33 +12.0% Won
Vasas — Gyori ETO FC · Hungary NB I 2 1.69 1.81 -6.6% Lost
Encarnación — Fernando De La Mora · Paraguay Division Intermedia 1/2 1.25 1.25 +0.0% Lost
Sportivo Carapeguá — General Caballero · Paraguay Division Intermedia 1/2 1.25 1.25 +0.0% Won
KuPS Akatemia — VJS · Ykkonen 2 1.61 1.53 +5.2% Lost
FK Tobol Kostanay — Atyrau · Kazakhstan Premier League VALUE → 1/X 1.11 1.06 +4.6% Won
Slavia Praha — Slovácko · Czech Liga VALUE → 1 1.13 1.16 -2.6% Won
Ljungskile SK — Sandviken · Superettan VALUE → 1/2 1.25 1.27 -1.9% Won
Raków Częstochowa — Wisla Plock · Ekstraklasa 1 1.64 1.63 +0.6% Lost
Brann — Valerenga · Eliteserien VALUE → 1 1.72 1.68 +2.4% Lost
Baník Ostrava II — Vlašim · Czech FNL 1/2 1.27 1.27 +0.0% Lost
Nieciecza — Ruch Chorzów · Poland I Liga 1/2 1.29 1.30 -1.4% Won
BSC Young Boys — FC Sion · Swiss Super League 1/2 1.24 1.25 -0.2% Won
Sonderjyske — FC Midtjylland · Danish Superliga 2 1.55 1.54 +0.6% Won
Hangzhou Greentown — Dalian Zhixing · China Super League VALUE → 1/2 1.24 1.29 -4.0% Won
Inter Turku — Gnistan · Veikkausliiga VALUE → 1 1.64 1.76 -6.8% Lost
IF Brommapojkarna — Hammarby FF · Allsvenskan VALUE → 2 1.53 1.40 +9.3% Lost
Sirius — IFK Goteborg · Allsvenskan 1 1.55 1.53 +1.3% Won
Ilves — Lahti · Veikkausliiga 1/2 1.26 1.33 -5.2% Won
BFA — Be1 NFA · Lithuania 1 Lyga 1/2 1.18 1.21 -2.1% Won
Chengdu Better City — Beijing Guoan · China Super League 1/2 1.23 1.28 -3.7% Lost
Shandong Luneng — Henan Jianye · China Super League 1/2 1.24 1.28 -2.6% Won
Guangdong Mingtu — Chengdu Rongcheng II · China League Two VALUE → 1/X 1.26 1.26 +0.0% Won
Hubei Chufeng Heli — Wuhan Three Towns II · China League Two 1/X 1.16 1.25 -7.0% Won
Yunnan Yukun — Sichuan Jiuniu · China Super League 1/2 1.23 1.22 +0.7% Won
GIF Sundsvall — Falkenbergs FF · Superettan 1/2 1.28 1.27 +0.4% Won
Probiy Horodenka — Inhulets · Ukraine Persha Liga 1/2 1.26 1.28 -1.1% Lost
Paju Citizen — Ansan Greeners · K League 2 VALUE → 1/X 1.21 1.22 -1.0% Lost
Gimpo Citizen — Yongin City · K League 2 1/X 1.23 1.22 +0.1% Won
FC Seoul — Ulsan Hyundai FC · K League 1 VALUE → 1/X 1.23 1.24 -0.4% Lost
Incheon United — Bucheon FC 1995 · K League 1 1 1.75 1.72 +1.7% Lost
Gwangju FC — Jeju United FC · K League 1 VALUE → X/2 1.23 1.25 -1.7% Won
FC Anyang — Gangwon FC · K League 1 X/2 1.23 1.27 -3.4% Lost
Shanghai Port II — Tai'an Tiankuang · China League Two 1/X 1.25 1.24 +1.1% Lost
551–600 / 1282

Nothing here is cherry-picked. Each row was written to our database before the match started and is immutable. CLV — beating the closing price of a sharp bookmaker — is the metric most strongly shown to correlate with a real long-term edge; win rate and short-run profit are mostly noise until the sample is large.

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