We log each prediction before kick-off — odds and all — and never touch it again. Wins and losses, in the open. Measured by closing line value — one of the strongest publicly measurable leading indicators of a long-term edge.
Filtered view — 424 predictions match.
odds we took vs the closing line — the sharp benchmark
The full record is published daily to an external, append-only public log (Git history + OpenTimestamps), so it is independently verifiable — not even we can rewrite a past record undetectably. Verify on the public log →
External independent verification has been active since 20 June 2026. Earlier records are preserved in our internal ledger but were not externally timestamped before kick-off.
✈ Follow the live audit on Telegram| Date | Match | Value bet | Soft odds | Fair | Close | CLV | Result | Profit |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Belgrano Cordoba — Argentinos JRS · Argentina Liga Profesional | 1 · Belgrano Cordoba | 2.68 | 2.61 | 2.42 | +10.7% | Lost | -1.00 | |
| Mercedes — Estrella Del Sur · Primera C | 2 · Estrella Del Sur | 3.33 | 3.15 | 2.84 | +17.3% | Lost | -1.00 | |
| Puerto Nuevo — Sacachispas · Primera C | X · Draw | 3.00 | 2.90 | 2.58 | +16.3% | Lost | -1.00 | |
| Deportivo Paraguayo — Argentino Rosario · Primera C | 2 · Argentino Rosario | 2.60 | 2.43 | 2.24 | +16.1% | Lost | -1.00 | |
| Deportivo Muñiz — Atletico Atlas · Primera C | X · Draw | 2.80 | 2.69 | 2.42 | +15.7% | Won | +1.80 | |
| Defensores de Cambaceres — Lugano · Primera C | 1 · Defensores de Cambaceres | 3.33 | 3.04 | 2.51 | +32.7% | Lost | -1.00 | |
| Claypole — Lujan · Primera C | X · Draw | 2.89 | 2.86 | 2.56 | +12.9% | Lost | -1.00 | |
| Centro Español — Victoriano Arenas · Primera C | 1 · Centro Español | 2.30 | 2.26 | 2.07 | +11.1% | Lost | -1.00 | |
| JJ Urquiza — Berazategui · Primera C | X · Draw | 3.15 | 2.87 | 2.55 | +23.5% | Won | +2.15 | |
| Central Cordoba — General Lamadrid · Primera C | X · Draw | 2.90 | 2.85 | 2.55 | +13.7% | Lost | -1.00 | |
| Sportivo Italiano — Deportivo Camioneros · Primera B Metropolitana | 1 · Sportivo Italiano | 2.95 | 2.64 | 2.45 | +20.4% | Lost | -1.00 | |
| San Martín Burzaco — Deportivo Merlo · Primera B Metropolitana | 1 · San Martín Burzaco | 2.70 | 2.54 | — | — | Lost | -1.00 | |
| Villa San Carlos — Dock Sud · Primera B Metropolitana | X · Draw | 3.15 | 2.92 | — | — | Won | +2.15 | |
| Argentino de Merlo — Deportivo Laferrere · Primera B Metropolitana | X · Draw | 3.15 | 3.04 | 2.76 | +14.1% | Lost | -1.00 | |
| UAI Urquiza — Argentino Quilmes · Primera B Metropolitana | X · Draw | 3.05 | 2.86 | 2.60 | +17.3% | Won | +2.05 | |
| Villa Dalmine — Flandria · Primera B Metropolitana | X · Draw | 3.15 | 2.91 | 2.63 | +19.8% | Lost | -1.00 | |
| HNK Gorica — NK Osijek · Croatia HNL | X · Draw | 3.10 | 2.87 | 2.98 | +4.0% | Lost | -1.00 | |
| Universitatea Craiova — Petrolul Ploiesti · Romania Liga I | 1 · Universitatea Craiova | 1.49 | 1.44 | 1.45 | +2.8% | Won | +0.49 | |
| FC Thun — BSC Young Boys · Swiss Super League | 1 · FC Thun | 2.52 | 2.39 | 3.82 | -34.0% | Lost | -1.00 | |
| Estudiantes de Rio Cuarto — Banfield · Argentina Liga Profesional | X · Draw | 2.98 | 2.95 | 2.98 | +0.0% | Won | +1.98 | |
| Gimnasia M. — Union Santa Fe · Argentina Liga Profesional | 2 · Union Santa Fe | 2.72 | 2.70 | 2.75 | -1.1% | Lost | -1.00 | |
| Cukaricki — Radnicki 1923 · Serbia Super Liga | 2 · Radnicki 1923 | 2.88 | 2.81 | 3.04 | -5.3% | Lost | -1.00 | |
| FK Košice — AS Trencin · Slovak Super Liga | 1 · FK Košice | 1.75 | 1.71 | 1.69 | +3.6% | Lost | -1.00 | |
| Botev Plovdiv — Cherno More Varna · Bulgaria First League | 1 · Botev Plovdiv | 2.10 | 1.91 | 1.88 | +11.7% | Won | +1.10 | |
| Celje — Maribor · Slovenia PrvaLiga | 1 · Celje | 2.15 | 2.04 | 2.48 | -13.3% | Lost | -1.00 | |
| Nueva Chicago — San Martin Tucuman · Primera Nacional | X · Draw | 2.88 | 2.76 | 2.74 | +5.1% | Lost | -1.00 | |
| Ferro Carril Oeste — Godoy Cruz · Primera Nacional | 1 · Ferro Carril Oeste | 2.10 | 1.99 | 1.94 | +8.2% | Lost | -1.00 | |
| Defensores De Belgrano — CA Estudiantes · Primera Nacional | 1 · Defensores De Belgrano | 2.80 | 2.77 | 2.49 | +12.4% | Lost | -1.00 | |
| Colegiales — Gimnasia Jujuy · Primera Nacional | 1 · Colegiales | 2.90 | 2.68 | 2.20 | +31.8% | Won | +1.90 | |
| Chacarita Juniors — Agropecuario · Primera Nacional | 1 · Chacarita Juniors | 2.45 | 2.34 | 2.19 | +11.9% | Won | +1.45 | |
| Acassuso — Colon Santa Fe · Primera Nacional | 2 · Colon Santa Fe | 2.23 | 2.17 | 2.12 | +5.2% | Lost | -1.00 | |
| Deportivo Maldonado — Juventud · Uruguay Primera Division | 1 · Deportivo Maldonado | 1.96 | 1.85 | 1.81 | +8.3% | Lost | -1.00 | |
| Red Bull Salzburg — TSV Hartberg · Austrian Bundesliga | 1 · Red Bull Salzburg | 1.41 | 1.32 | 1.30 | +8.5% | Won | +0.41 | |
| Spartak Pleven — Marek · Bulgaria Second League | 2 · Marek | 3.40 | 3.05 | 3.30 | +3.0% | Lost | -1.00 | |
| Aberdeen — Heart Of Midlothian · Scottish Premiership | 2 · Heart Of Midlothian | 1.94 | 1.85 | 2.29 | -15.3% | Lost | -1.00 | |
| FC Zurich — Servette FC · Swiss Super League | 2 · Servette FC | 1.91 | 1.83 | 1.84 | +3.8% | Lost | -1.00 | |
| FC Basel 1893 — Lausanne · Swiss Super League | 1 · FC Basel 1893 | 2.30 | 2.11 | 1.90 | +21.1% | Lost | -1.00 | |
| Lyngby — Aarhus · Danish Superliga | 2 · Aarhus | 2.02 | 1.91 | 2.49 | -18.9% | Lost | -1.00 | |
| Leevon / PPK — Rēzekne FA · Latvia 1. Liga | 1 · Leevon / PPK | 1.25 | 1.21 | 1.15 | +8.7% | Won | +0.25 | |
| Riga FC II — Metta / LU · Latvia 1. Liga | 2 · Metta / LU | 1.25 | 1.18 | 1.10 | +13.6% | Lost | -1.00 | |
| Ekranas — Žalgiris II · Lithuania 1 Lyga | 1 · Ekranas | 3.04 | 2.76 | 2.43 | +25.1% | Lost | -1.00 | |
| Slovan Bratislava — Podbrezová · Slovak Super Liga | 1 · Slovan Bratislava | 1.48 | 1.47 | 1.45 | +2.1% | Won | +0.48 | |
| FC Voluntari — Uta Arad · Romania Liga I | 2 · Uta Arad | 2.75 | 2.72 | 2.62 | +5.0% | Lost | -1.00 | |
| Wieczysta Kraków — Lech Poznan · Ekstraklasa | 2 · Lech Poznan | 1.85 | 1.68 | 2.11 | -12.3% | Won | +0.85 | |
| WSG Wattens — Sturm Graz · Austrian Bundesliga | 2 · Sturm Graz | 2.08 | 1.95 | 1.81 | +14.9% | Lost | -1.00 | |
| Lahti — FF Jaro · Veikkausliiga | 1 · Lahti | 1.85 | 1.67 | 1.55 | +19.4% | Won | +0.85 | |
| Chernomorets 1919 Burgas — Beroe · Bulgaria Second League | 1 · Chernomorets 1919 Burgas | 2.10 | 1.99 | 1.83 | +14.8% | Won | +1.10 | |
| TPV — Rops · Ykkonen | 2 · Rops | 1.70 | 1.65 | 1.62 | +4.9% | Lost | -1.00 | |
| Atyrau — Zhetysu · Kazakhstan Premier League | 2 · Zhetysu | 3.30 | 3.14 | 2.84 | +16.2% | Lost | -1.00 | |
| Pogoń Siedlce — Nieciecza · Poland I Liga | 2 · Nieciecza | 2.55 | 2.41 | 2.22 | +14.9% | Won | +1.55 |
Nothing here is cherry-picked. Each row was written to our database before the match started and is immutable. CLV — beating the closing price of a sharp bookmaker — is the metric most strongly shown to correlate with a real long-term edge; win rate and short-run profit are mostly noise until the sample is large.