We log each prediction before kick-off — odds and all — and never touch it again. Wins and losses, in the open. Measured by closing line value — one of the strongest publicly measurable leading indicators of a long-term edge.
18 predictions voided (match postponed, cancelled or never played) — excluded from every figure on this page, never deleted from the ledger.
Filtered view — 1818 predictions match.
odds we took vs the closing line — the sharp benchmark
The full record is published daily to an external, append-only public log (Git history + OpenTimestamps), so it is independently verifiable — not even we can rewrite a past record undetectably. Verify on the public log →
External independent verification has been active since 20 June 2026. Earlier records are preserved in our internal ledger but were not externally timestamped before kick-off.
✈ Follow the live audit on Telegram| Date | Match | Value bet | Soft odds | Fair | Close | CLV | Result | Profit |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ajax — Willem II · Eredivisie | 1 · Ajax | 1.21 | 1.19 | 1.13 | +7.1% | Won | +0.21 | |
| Rayo Vallecano — Espanyol · La Liga | 1 · Rayo Vallecano | 2.18 | 2.06 | 2.26 | -3.5% | Won | +1.18 | |
| Würzburger Kickers — Alemannia Aachen · 3. Liga | 2 · Alemannia Aachen | 2.14 | 2.11 | 2.04 | +4.9% | Lost | -1.00 | |
| MSV Duisburg — Havelse · 3. Liga | 1 · MSV Duisburg | 1.29 | 1.26 | 1.29 | +0.0% | Won | +0.29 | |
| SSV Jahn Regensburg — Fortuna Düsseldorf · 3. Liga | 2 · Fortuna Düsseldorf | 2.45 | 2.25 | 2.19 | +11.9% | Won | +1.45 | |
| Super Nova — Riga · Latvia Virsliga | 2 · Riga | 1.32 | 1.25 | 1.24 | +6.5% | Won | +0.32 | |
| Rangers de Talca — Deportes Iquique · Chile Primera B | 1 · Rangers de Talca | 2.30 | 2.16 | 2.22 | +3.6% | Lost | -1.00 | |
| Bahia — Remo · Brazil Serie A | 1 · Bahia | 1.52 | 1.46 | 1.46 | +4.1% | Won | +0.52 | |
| Independiente F.b.c. — Encarnación · Paraguay Division Intermedia | 1 · Independiente F.b.c. | 2.40 | 2.32 | 2.34 | +2.6% | Won | +1.40 | |
| Atletico Torque — Liverpool Montevideo · Uruguay Primera Division | 2 · Liverpool Montevideo | 2.80 | 2.76 | 2.23 | +25.6% | Lost | -1.00 | |
| Portland Timbers II — St. Louis City II · MLS Next Pro | 2 · St. Louis City II | 2.70 | 2.66 | 2.63 | +2.7% | Lost | -1.00 | |
| Moreirense — Maritimo · Primeira Liga | 2 · Maritimo | 2.72 | 2.65 | 2.72 | +0.0% | Lost | -1.00 | |
| SC Braga — Estoril · Primeira Liga | 1 · SC Braga | 1.58 | 1.49 | 1.39 | +13.7% | Won | +0.58 | |
| Leeds — Newcastle · Premier League | 1 · Leeds | 2.59 | 2.39 | 2.39 | +8.4% | Won | +1.59 | |
| RED Star FC 93 — Metz · Ligue 2 | 2 · Metz | 2.90 | 2.77 | 3.01 | -3.7% | Lost | -1.00 | |
| Sligo Rovers — Galway United · Premier Division | 2 · Galway United | 2.35 | 2.27 | 1.96 | +19.9% | Won | +1.35 | |
| Shelbourne — Drogheda United · Premier Division | 1 · Shelbourne | 1.77 | 1.76 | 1.82 | -2.7% | Lost | -1.00 | |
| Dundalk — St Patrick's Athl. · Premier Division | 1 · Dundalk | 3.21 | 3.12 | 3.39 | -5.3% | Lost | -1.00 | |
| Inter — Udinese · Serie A | 1 · Inter | 1.38 | 1.31 | 1.24 | +11.3% | Won | +0.38 | |
| Celta de Vigo II — Eibar · Segunda Division | X · Draw | 3.25 | 3.11 | 3.32 | -2.1% | Lost | -1.00 | |
| Rio Ave — Estrela · Primeira Liga | 1 · Rio Ave | 2.80 | 2.71 | 2.88 | -2.8% | Lost | -1.00 | |
| Djurgardens IF — Gais · Allsvenskan | 1 · Djurgardens IF | 1.64 | 1.60 | 1.48 | +10.8% | Won | +0.64 | |
| Como — Parma · Serie A | 1 · Como | 1.38 | 1.26 | 1.23 | +12.2% | Won | +0.38 | |
| Torino — AS Roma · Serie A | 2 · AS Roma | 1.73 | 1.64 | 1.54 | +12.3% | Won | +0.73 | |
| FA Šiauliai II — Be1 NFA · Lithuania 1 Lyga | 2 · Be1 NFA | 1.62 | 1.59 | 1.54 | +5.2% | Won | +0.62 | |
| Hebar 1918 — Etar Veliko Tarnovo · Bulgaria Second League | 1 · Hebar 1918 | 2.20 | 2.03 | 2.10 | +4.8% | Won | +1.20 | |
| Rīgas FS II — Skanste · Latvia 1. Liga | 1 · Rīgas FS II | 2.63 | 2.46 | 2.23 | +17.9% | Lost | -1.00 | |
| Dynamo Kyiv — Epitsentr Dunayivtsi · Ukraine Premier League | 1 · Dynamo Kyiv | 1.50 | 1.45 | 1.57 | -4.5% | Won | +0.50 | |
| Huracan — Racing Club · Argentina Liga Profesional | 1 · Huracan | 2.98 | 2.79 | 2.63 | +13.3% | Won | +1.98 | |
| Sporting KC II — Los Angeles FC II · MLS Next Pro | 2 · Los Angeles FC II | 1.83 | 1.79 | 1.74 | +5.2% | Won | +0.83 | |
| Inter Miami II — Huntsville City · MLS Next Pro | 2 · Huntsville City | 1.73 | 1.72 | 1.64 | +5.5% | Won | +0.73 | |
| Juventude — Athletic Club · Brazil Serie B | 1 · Juventude | 1.73 | 1.70 | 1.62 | +6.8% | Lost | -1.00 | |
| LDU de Quito — Deportivo Cuenca · Ecuador LigaPro | 1 · LDU de Quito | 1.57 | 1.55 | 1.67 | -6.0% | Lost | -1.00 | |
| Macara — Emelec · Ecuador LigaPro | 1 · Macara | 2.05 | 2.03 | 1.89 | +8.5% | Won | +1.05 | |
| Instituto Cordoba — Estudiantes de Rio Cuarto · Argentina Liga Profesional | 1 · Instituto Cordoba | 1.48 | 1.46 | 1.42 | +4.2% | Won | +0.48 | |
| Deportivo Riestra — Lanus · Argentina Liga Profesional | 1 · Deportivo Riestra | 3.25 | 3.16 | 3.22 | +0.9% | Lost | -1.00 | |
| Real Sociedad — Atletico Madrid · La Liga | 2 · Atletico Madrid | 2.44 | 2.32 | 2.15 | +13.5% | Won | +1.44 | |
| Santa Fe — Deportes Tolima · Primera A | X · Draw | 3.25 | 3.17 | 3.14 | +3.5% | Lost | -1.00 | |
| Atletico Goianiense — Criciuma · Brazil Serie B | 1 · Atletico Goianiense | 2.35 | 2.31 | 2.45 | -4.1% | Won | +1.35 | |
| Mirassol — Vitoria · Brazil Serie A | 1 · Mirassol | 1.96 | 1.88 | 1.90 | +3.2% | Lost | -1.00 | |
| Stade Brestois 29 — Paris Saint Germain · Ligue 1 | 2 · Paris Saint Germain | 1.38 | 1.37 | 1.23 | +12.2% | Won | +0.38 | |
| Sassuolo — Juventus · Serie A | 2 · Juventus | 1.67 | 1.65 | 1.71 | -2.3% | Lost | -1.00 | |
| PSV Eindhoven — Sparta Rotterdam · Eredivisie | 1 · PSV Eindhoven | 1.24 | 1.22 | 1.18 | +5.1% | Won | +0.24 | |
| Kifisia — Levadiakos · Greek Super League | 1 · Kifisia | 2.77 | 2.48 | 2.04 | +35.8% | Lost | -1.00 | |
| San Marcos de Arica — Curico Unido · Chile Primera B | 1 · San Marcos de Arica | 1.91 | 1.76 | 1.81 | +5.5% | Won | +0.91 | |
| D. La Serena — Universidad de Chile · Primera Division Chile | 2 · Universidad de Chile | 1.94 | 1.90 | 1.84 | +5.4% | Won | +0.94 | |
| Tigre — Rosario Central · Argentina Liga Profesional | X · Draw | 3.05 | 3.01 | 2.90 | +5.2% | Lost | -1.00 | |
| Hoffenheim II — Fortuna Köln · 3. Liga | 1 · Hoffenheim II | 2.28 | 2.23 | 2.05 | +11.2% | Lost | -1.00 | |
| RAAL La Louvière — Kortrijk · Jupiler Pro League | 1 · RAAL La Louvière | 2.60 | 2.52 | 2.48 | +4.8% | Won | +1.60 | |
| Mallorca — Sabadell · Segunda Division | 1 · Mallorca | 1.87 | 1.74 | 1.86 | +0.5% | Won | +0.87 |
Nothing here is cherry-picked. Each row was written to our database before the match started and is immutable. CLV — beating the closing price of a sharp bookmaker — is the metric most strongly shown to correlate with a real long-term edge; win rate and short-run profit are mostly noise until the sample is large.