We log each prediction before kick-off — odds and all — and never touch it again. Wins and losses, in the open. Measured by closing line value — one of the strongest publicly measurable leading indicators of a long-term edge.
odds we took vs the closing line — the sharp benchmark
The full record is published daily to an external, append-only public log (Git history + OpenTimestamps), so it is independently verifiable — not even we can rewrite a past record undetectably. Verify on the public log →
External independent verification has been active since 20 June 2026. Earlier records are preserved in our internal ledger but were not externally timestamped before kick-off.
✈ Follow the live audit on Telegram| Date | Match | Pick | Odds | Close | CLV | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| New York Red Bulls — Orlando City SC · MLS VALUE → | 1/2 | 1.24 | 1.26 | -1.6% | Won | |
| Philadelphia Union — Atlanta United FC · MLS | 1 | 1.73 | 1.61 | +7.5% | Won | |
| Racing Club — Tigre · Argentina Liga Profesional VALUE → | 1/X | 1.21 | 1.30 | -6.6% | Lost | |
| Charleston Battery — Brooklyn · USL Championship VALUE → | 1 | 1.40 | 1.47 | -4.8% | Won | |
| Independiente Medellin — Deportivo Cali · Primera A | 1/X | 1.22 | 1.27 | -3.9% | Won | |
| Club Queretaro — Tigres UANL · Liga MX | X/2 | 1.26 | 1.40 | -9.6% | Lost | |
| Connecticut FC — Orlando City II · MLS Next Pro | 1 | 1.56 | 1.53 | +2.0% | Won | |
| New York City II — Philadelphia Union II · MLS Next Pro VALUE → | 1/2 | 1.21 | 1.20 | +1.4% | Lost | |
| Lexington — Monterey Bay · USL Championship | 1 | 1.58 | 1.47 | +7.5% | Won | |
| Miami FC — Detroit City · USL Championship VALUE → | X/2 | 1.24 | 1.25 | -0.4% | Won | |
| Loudoun United — Hartford Athletic · USL Championship | 1/2 | 1.29 | 1.30 | -0.2% | Won | |
| Cusco — UTC Cajamarca · Peru Liga 1 | 1 | 1.59 | 1.49 | +6.7% | Won | |
| Palestino — Coquimbo Unido · Primera Division Chile | 1/2 | 1.36 | 1.39 | -2.4% | Won | |
| Curico Unido — Cobreloa · Chile Primera B | 1/2 | 1.31 | 1.33 | -1.5% | Lost | |
| Penarol — Cerro Largo · Uruguay Primera Division | 1 | 1.57 | 1.56 | +0.6% | Won | |
| Universidad Catolica — Tecnico Universitario · Ecuador LigaPro | 1 | 1.46 | 1.52 | -3.9% | Won | |
| Alianza Valledupar — Deportes Tolima · Primera A | 1/2 | 1.35 | 1.38 | -2.3% | Won | |
| Estudiantes L.P. — Defensa Y Justicia · Argentina Liga Profesional | 1/X | 1.17 | 1.13 | +3.6% | Won | |
| Belgrano Cordoba — Argentinos JRS · Argentina Liga Profesional VALUE → | 1/X | 1.33 | 1.34 | -0.8% | Lost | |
| Atletico Grau — Sport Boys · Peru Liga 1 | 1/X | 1.26 | 1.28 | -1.8% | Lost | |
| Mercedes — Estrella Del Sur · Primera C VALUE → | 1/X | 1.31 | 1.32 | -0.7% | Won | |
| Puerto Nuevo — Sacachispas · Primera C VALUE → | X/2 | 1.18 | 1.18 | +0.0% | Lost | |
| Deportivo Paraguayo — Argentino Rosario · Primera C VALUE → | X/2 | 1.19 | 1.20 | -0.7% | Lost | |
| Deportivo Muñiz — Atletico Atlas · Primera C VALUE → | 1/X | 1.30 | 1.30 | +0.0% | Won | |
| Defensores de Cambaceres — Lugano · Primera C VALUE → | 1/X | 1.30 | 1.29 | +1.1% | Lost | |
| Claypole — Lujan · Primera C VALUE → | X/2 | 1.26 | 1.26 | +0.0% | Won | |
| Centro Español — Victoriano Arenas · Primera C VALUE → | 1/X | 1.16 | 1.16 | +0.0% | Lost | |
| Deportivo Español — Leones de Rosario · Primera C | 1/X | 1.26 | 1.26 | +0.0% | Won | |
| JJ Urquiza — Berazategui · Primera C VALUE → | X/2 | 1.17 | 1.15 | +2.0% | Won | |
| Central Cordoba — General Lamadrid · Primera C VALUE → | 1/X | 1.24 | 1.24 | +0.6% | Won | |
| Liniers — Comunicaciones · Primera B Metropolitana | 1/X | 1.32 | 1.31 | +0.7% | Won | |
| Sportivo Italiano — Deportivo Camioneros · Primera B Metropolitana VALUE → | 1/X | 1.26 | 1.26 | +0.3% | Won | |
| San Martín Burzaco — Deportivo Merlo · Primera B Metropolitana VALUE → | 1/X | 1.26 | — | — | Won | |
| Excursionistas — Deportivo Armenio · Primera B Metropolitana | 1/X | 1.17 | 1.09 | +6.7% | Won | |
| Villa San Carlos — Dock Sud · Primera B Metropolitana VALUE → | X/2 | 1.34 | — | — | Won | |
| Argentino de Merlo — Deportivo Laferrere · Primera B Metropolitana VALUE → | 1/X | 1.27 | 1.29 | -1.3% | Lost | |
| Real Pilar — Defensores Unidos · Primera B Metropolitana | 1/X | 1.13 | 1.13 | +0.0% | Won | |
| UAI Urquiza — Argentino Quilmes · Primera B Metropolitana VALUE → | 1/X | 1.34 | 1.33 | +0.5% | Won | |
| Talleres Remedios — Ituzaingó · Primera B Metropolitana | 1 | 1.30 | 1.30 | +0.0% | Lost | |
| Villa Dalmine — Flandria · Primera B Metropolitana VALUE → | 1/X | 1.17 | 1.17 | +0.0% | Won | |
| Arsenal Sarandi — Brown DE Adrogue · Primera B Metropolitana | 1 | 1.67 | 1.58 | +5.7% | Lost | |
| Everton de Vina — Colo Colo · Primera Division Chile | X/2 | 1.26 | 1.32 | -3.9% | Won | |
| Deportivo Pasto — Águilas Doradas · Primera A | 1/X | 1.19 | 1.25 | -5.0% | Lost | |
| Antofagasta — Union San Felipe · Chile Primera B | 1 | 1.50 | 1.46 | +2.7% | Won | |
| Manta FC — Mushuc Runa SC · Ecuador LigaPro | 1/2 | 1.34 | 1.37 | -1.8% | Won | |
| HNK Gorica — NK Osijek · Croatia HNL VALUE → | 1/X | 1.34 | 1.37 | -2.5% | Lost | |
| Universitatea Craiova — Petrolul Ploiesti · Romania Liga I VALUE → | 1 | 1.40 | 1.45 | -3.4% | Won | |
| FC Thun — BSC Young Boys · Swiss Super League VALUE → | 1/2 | 1.26 | 1.24 | +1.7% | Won | |
| Estudiantes de Rio Cuarto — Banfield · Argentina Liga Profesional VALUE → | 1/X | 1.37 | 1.47 | -7.2% | Won | |
| San Martin S.J. — Atletico DE Rafaela · Primera Nacional | 1/X | 1.13 | 1.12 | +0.9% | Won |
Nothing here is cherry-picked. Each row was written to our database before the match started and is immutable. CLV — beating the closing price of a sharp bookmaker — is the metric most strongly shown to correlate with a real long-term edge; win rate and short-run profit are mostly noise until the sample is large.