We log each prediction before kick-off — odds and all — and never touch it again. Wins and losses, in the open. Measured by closing line value — one of the strongest publicly measurable leading indicators of a long-term edge.
18 predictions voided (match postponed, cancelled or never played) — excluded from every figure on this page, never deleted from the ledger.
odds we took vs the closing line — the sharp benchmark
The full record is published daily to an external, append-only public log (Git history + OpenTimestamps), so it is independently verifiable — not even we can rewrite a past record undetectably. Verify on the public log →
External independent verification has been active since 20 June 2026. Earlier records are preserved in our internal ledger but were not externally timestamped before kick-off.
✈ Follow the live audit on Telegram| Date | Match | Pick | Odds | Close | CLV | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Norrby IF — Varbergs BoIS FC · Superettan | 1/2 | 1.28 | 1.29 | -0.7% | Won | |
| Orebro SK — United Nordic · Superettan | 1/2 | 1.27 | 1.29 | -1.0% | Lost | |
| Sirius — Degerfors IF · Allsvenskan | 1 | 1.43 | 1.46 | -2.1% | Won | |
| Djurgardens IF — Gais · Allsvenskan VALUE → | 1 | 1.55 | 1.48 | +4.7% | Won | |
| Como — Parma · Serie A VALUE → | 1 | 1.24 | 1.23 | +0.8% | Won | |
| Torino — AS Roma · Serie A VALUE → | 2 | 1.60 | 1.54 | +3.9% | Won | |
| FA Šiauliai II — Be1 NFA · Lithuania 1 Lyga VALUE → | 2 | 1.50 | 1.54 | -2.6% | Won | |
| Banga — TransINVEST Vilnius · Lithuania A Lyga | 1/2 | 1.32 | 1.31 | +0.1% | Won | |
| Inter Turku — VPS · Veikkausliiga | 1 | 1.70 | 1.60 | +6.2% | Won | |
| Zlaté Moravce — Lokomotíva Zvolen · Slovakia 2. Liga | 1/X | 1.21 | 1.20 | +1.1% | Won | |
| Shakhtar Donetsk — Chornomorets · Ukraine Premier League | 1 | 1.13 | 1.12 | +0.9% | Won | |
| Universitatea Cluj — Oţelul · Romania Liga I | 1 | 1.68 | 1.55 | +8.4% | Won | |
| Hebar 1918 — Etar Veliko Tarnovo · Bulgaria Second League VALUE → | 1/2 | 1.18 | 1.20 | -1.4% | Won | |
| Rīgas FS II — Skanste · Latvia 1. Liga VALUE → | 1/2 | 1.15 | 1.15 | +0.0% | Won | |
| Dynamo Kyiv — Epitsentr Dunayivtsi · Ukraine Premier League VALUE → | 1 | 1.40 | 1.57 | -10.8% | Won | |
| Cucuta — Millonarios · Primera A | X/2 | 1.17 | 1.21 | -3.0% | Won | |
| Guadalajara Chivas — U.N.A.M. - Pumas · Liga MX | 1 | 1.51 | 1.54 | -1.9% | Won | |
| San Diego — Philadelphia Union · MLS | 1/2 | 1.28 | 1.30 | -1.3% | Won | |
| Austin II — Colorado Rapids II · MLS Next Pro | 1 | 1.53 | 1.52 | +0.7% | Won | |
| North Texas — Houston Dynamo FC II · MLS Next Pro | 1/2 | 1.21 | 1.21 | +0.2% | Lost | |
| Huracan — Racing Club · Argentina Liga Profesional VALUE → | 1/X | 1.36 | 1.39 | -1.7% | Won | |
| Sporting KC II — Los Angeles FC II · MLS Next Pro VALUE → | 2 | 1.70 | 1.74 | -2.3% | Won | |
| Santos Laguna — FC Juarez · Liga MX | 1/2 | 1.27 | 1.31 | -3.3% | Won | |
| Once Caldas — Deportivo Cali · Primera A | 1/X | 1.25 | 1.27 | -1.1% | Lost | |
| The Town — Real Monarchs · MLS Next Pro | 1 | 1.56 | 1.65 | -5.5% | Won | |
| Inter Miami II — Huntsville City · MLS Next Pro VALUE → | 2 | 1.63 | 1.64 | -0.6% | Won | |
| Orlando City II — Toronto II · MLS Next Pro | 1/2 | 1.20 | 1.21 | -0.7% | Won | |
| New York RB II — FC Cincinnati II · MLS Next Pro | 1 | 1.23 | 1.31 | -6.1% | Lost | |
| Ventura County — Tacoma Defiance · MLS Next Pro | 1/2 | 1.21 | 1.21 | +0.0% | Won | |
| A. Italiano — O'Higgins · Primera Division Chile | 1/2 | 1.33 | 1.36 | -2.1% | Won | |
| Defensor Sporting — Deportivo Maldonado · Uruguay Primera Division | 1/2 | 1.34 | 1.36 | -1.1% | Won | |
| Vancouver Whitecaps — Austin · MLS | 1 | 1.28 | 1.27 | +0.8% | Lost | |
| Independiente — San Lorenzo · Argentina Liga Profesional | 1/X | 1.20 | 1.25 | -3.5% | Won | |
| Columbus Crew II — New England II · MLS Next Pro | 1/2 | 1.25 | 1.25 | +0.1% | Lost | |
| Chicago Fire — New England Revolution · MLS | 1/2 | 1.24 | 1.29 | -4.0% | Won | |
| Novorizontino — Cuiaba · Brazil Serie B | 1/X | 1.17 | 1.13 | +3.2% | Won | |
| Fortaleza EC — Ceara · Brazil Serie B | 1/X | 1.16 | 1.33 | -12.5% | Won | |
| Atletico Nacional — Águilas Doradas · Primera A | 1 | 1.42 | 1.41 | +0.7% | Won | |
| New York City II — Connecticut FC · MLS Next Pro | 1/2 | 1.19 | 1.20 | -1.0% | Won | |
| Juventude — Athletic Club · Brazil Serie B VALUE → | 1 | 1.64 | 1.62 | +1.2% | Lost | |
| Colo Colo — Concepción · Primera Division Chile | 1 | 1.39 | 1.44 | -3.5% | Lost | |
| Flamengo — Corinthians · Brazil Serie A | 1 | 1.48 | 1.27 | +16.5% | Won | |
| Atletico Grau — Alianza Atletico · Peru Liga 1 | 1/X | 1.27 | 1.35 | -5.8% | Won | |
| Chicago Fire II — Philadelphia Union II · MLS Next Pro | 1 | 1.65 | 1.67 | -1.2% | Lost | |
| Leones del Norte — Tecnico Universitario · Ecuador LigaPro | 1/X | 1.18 | 1.24 | -4.7% | Lost | |
| Libertad — Independiente del Valle · Ecuador LigaPro | 1/2 | 1.29 | 1.29 | +0.2% | Won | |
| Manta FC — Aucas · Ecuador LigaPro | X/2 | 1.27 | 1.29 | -2.1% | Won | |
| Guayaquil City FC — Mushuc Runa SC · Ecuador LigaPro | 1/2 | 1.36 | 1.38 | -1.8% | Won | |
| LDU de Quito — Deportivo Cuenca · Ecuador LigaPro VALUE → | 1 | 1.50 | 1.67 | -10.2% | Lost | |
| Universidad Catolica — Orense SC · Ecuador LigaPro | 1 | 1.42 | 1.42 | +0.0% | Won |
Nothing here is cherry-picked. Each row was written to our database before the match started and is immutable. CLV — beating the closing price of a sharp bookmaker — is the metric most strongly shown to correlate with a real long-term edge; win rate and short-run profit are mostly noise until the sample is large.