The public ledger

Every call, on the record.

We log each prediction before kick-off — odds and all — and never touch it again. Wins and losses, in the open. Measured by closing line value — one of the strongest publicly measurable leading indicators of a long-term edge.

1,428
Predictions logged
1251
Settled
177
Pending
73%
Hit rate
-0.9%
Avg CLV
41
Value flags live
08 Jun 2026
Tracking since

odds we took vs the closing line — the sharp benchmark

Download the full record: CSV JSON

The full record is published daily to an external, append-only public log (Git history + OpenTimestamps), so it is independently verifiable — not even we can rewrite a past record undetectably. Verify on the public log →

External independent verification has been active since 20 June 2026. Earlier records are preserved in our internal ledger but were not externally timestamped before kick-off.

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Flagged value — cumulative result

+32.3u -1.1u
Jun 2026 +0.53 units, flat stake · flat 1-unit stakes Aug 2026

Performance of flagged value — if you had backed every flag at the odds shown, flat stakes

424
Bets
47%
Win rate
+0.1%
ROI
+0.53
Profit (units, flat stake)
+7.8%
Avg CLV (flagged odds vs close)

The ledger — every settled prediction · odds shown are the prediction pick · logged before kick-off, never edited

Date Match Pick Odds Close CLV Result
Sichuan Jiuniu — Chongqing Tongliang Long · China Super League 1/2 1.30 1.36 -4.4% Won
VPS — Inter Turku · Veikkausliiga 1/2 1.31 1.38 -4.5% Won
IF Brommapojkarna — Malmo FF · Allsvenskan VALUE → 1/2 1.28 1.28 -0.4% Won
IFK Goteborg — Degerfors IF · Allsvenskan 1 1.70 1.81 -6.1% Won
Chengdu Rongcheng II — Xiamen Feilu · China League Two VALUE → X/2 1.23 1.26 -2.4% Lost
Shenyang Urban — Shanghai Shenhua · China Super League VALUE → 1/2 1.25 1.18 +5.6% Won
Nantong Haimen Codion — Tai'an Tiankuang · China League Two VALUE → 1/X 1.19 1.19 +0.1% Won
Guangzhou Dandelion — Wuhan Three Towns II · China League Two 1/X 1.18 1.16 +1.6% Lost
Shandong Taishan II — Dalian Kewei · China League Two VALUE → 1/2 1.33 1.33 +0.0% Lost
Gimpo Citizen — Gyeongnam FC · K League 2 1/X 1.21 1.28 -4.9% Won
Jeonnam Dragons — Paju Citizen · K League 2 1/2 1.29 1.31 -1.1% Won
Ansan Greeners — Gimhae City · K League 2 VALUE → 1/2 1.26 1.32 -4.4% Lost
Busan I Park — Seoul E-Land FC · K League 2 1/2 1.27 1.28 -1.0% Won
Ulsan Hyundai FC — FC Anyang · K League 1 1/X 1.26 1.31 -3.8% Won
Jeju United FC — Incheon United · K League 1 X/2 1.36 1.39 -2.4% Won
Daejeon Citizen — Gwangju FC · K League 1 VALUE → 1 1.47 1.54 -4.5% Won
Chornomorets — Polessya · Ukraine Premier League 2 1.42 1.42 +0.0% Won
Qingdao Youth Island — Qingdao Jonoon · China Super League 1 1.70 2.27 -25.1% Won
Malženice — Slovan Bratislava II · Slovakia 2. Liga 1/X 1.23 1.26 -2.9% Won
Shanghai Second — Changchun Xidu · China League Two VALUE → 1/X 1.19 1.19 +0.1% Won
Sacramento Republic — Sporting JAX · USL Championship 1 1.29 1.30 -0.8% Won
Portland Timbers — Seattle Sounders · MLS 1/2 1.25 1.26 -0.7% Won
Los Angeles Galaxy — FC Dallas · MLS 1/2 1.26 1.30 -3.1% Lost
Las Vegas Lights — Phoenix Rising · USL Championship VALUE → 1/2 1.27 1.28 -0.8% Lost
Tacoma Defiance — Vancouver Whitecaps II · MLS Next Pro 1/2 1.21 1.21 +0.0% Won
Oakland Roots — Pittsburgh Riverhounds · USL Championship 1/2 1.28 1.35 -5.1% Won
Orange County SC — El Paso Locomotive · USL Championship VALUE → 1/2 1.26 1.27 -0.2% Won
Colorado Rapids — Austin · MLS 1 1.74 1.76 -1.1% Won
New Mexico United — Colorado Springs · USL Championship 1/2 1.28 1.29 -0.8% Won
Alianza Lima — Alianza Atletico · Peru Liga 1 1 1.45 1.39 +4.3% Won
Junior — Millonarios · Primera A 1/X 1.22 1.33 -8.1% Lost
Leon — CF Pachuca · Liga MX 1/2 1.32 1.35 -2.4% Won
Atlas — Monterrey · Liga MX 1/2 1.32 1.36 -3.1% Won
St. Louis City — Real Salt Lake · MLS 1/2 1.27 1.28 -0.5% Lost
Minnesota United FC — San Diego · MLS 1/2 1.26 1.29 -2.1% Lost
Sporting Kansas City — Houston Dynamo · MLS 1/2 1.31 1.33 -1.1% Won
Chicago Fire — Charlotte · MLS VALUE → 1 1.51 1.52 -0.7% Won
Huntsville City — Crown Legacy · MLS Next Pro X/2 1.18 1.20 -1.5% Won
Tampa Bay Rowdies — Louisville City · USL Championship 1/2 1.26 1.28 -1.7% Won
Birmingham Legion — Rhode Island · USL Championship 1/2 1.27 1.29 -1.7% Won
Emelec — Aucas · Ecuador LigaPro 1/X 1.31 1.30 +0.8% Lost
Inter Miami — Columbus Crew · MLS 1 1.71 1.59 +7.5% Lost
FC Cincinnati — San Jose Earthquakes · MLS 1/2 1.24 1.25 -1.3% Won
DC United — Nashville SC · MLS 1/2 1.31 1.34 -1.8% Lost
Vancouver Whitecaps — Los Angeles FC · MLS 1 1.74 1.95 -10.8% Lost
New York Red Bulls — Orlando City SC · MLS VALUE → 1/2 1.24 1.26 -1.6% Won
Philadelphia Union — Atlanta United FC · MLS 1 1.73 1.61 +7.5% Won
Racing Club — Tigre · Argentina Liga Profesional VALUE → 1/X 1.21 1.30 -6.6% Lost
Charleston Battery — Brooklyn · USL Championship VALUE → 1 1.40 1.47 -4.8% Won
Independiente Medellin — Deportivo Cali · Primera A 1/X 1.22 1.27 -3.9% Won
101–150 / 1251

Nothing here is cherry-picked. Each row was written to our database before the match started and is immutable. CLV — beating the closing price of a sharp bookmaker — is the metric most strongly shown to correlate with a real long-term edge; win rate and short-run profit are mostly noise until the sample is large.

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