We log each prediction before kick-off — odds and all — and never touch it again. Wins and losses, in the open. Measured by closing line value — one of the strongest publicly measurable leading indicators of a long-term edge.
18 predictions voided (match postponed, cancelled or never played) — excluded from every figure on this page, never deleted from the ledger.
odds we took vs the closing line — the sharp benchmark
The full record is published daily to an external, append-only public log (Git history + OpenTimestamps), so it is independently verifiable — not even we can rewrite a past record undetectably. Verify on the public log →
External independent verification has been active since 20 June 2026. Earlier records are preserved in our internal ledger but were not externally timestamped before kick-off.
✈ Follow the live audit on Telegram| Date | Match | Pick | Odds | Close | CLV | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Alaves — Valencia · La Liga VALUE → | 1/X | 1.27 | 1.17 | +8.8% | Lost | |
| Ajax — Willem II · Eredivisie VALUE → | 1 | 1.17 | 1.13 | +3.5% | Won | |
| Rayo Vallecano — Espanyol · La Liga VALUE → | 1/X | 1.27 | 1.34 | -5.4% | Won | |
| SV Meppen — FC Viktoria Köln · 3. Liga | 1/2 | 1.21 | 1.26 | -4.2% | Won | |
| SG Sonnenhof Grossaspach — Verl · 3. Liga | 1/2 | 1.21 | 1.22 | -0.7% | Lost | |
| Würzburger Kickers — Alemannia Aachen · 3. Liga VALUE → | 1/2 | 1.24 | 1.27 | -2.9% | Won | |
| MSV Duisburg — Havelse · 3. Liga VALUE → | 1 | 1.22 | 1.29 | -5.4% | Won | |
| SSV Jahn Regensburg — Fortuna Düsseldorf · 3. Liga VALUE → | 1/2 | 1.25 | 1.30 | -3.3% | Won | |
| Landskrona BoIS — GIF Sundsvall · Superettan | 1 | 1.55 | 1.39 | +11.5% | Won | |
| IK brage — Sandviken · Superettan | 1/2 | 1.27 | 1.28 | -0.7% | Lost | |
| IFK Varnamo — Osters IF · Superettan | 1/2 | 1.24 | 1.24 | +0.3% | Won | |
| Grasshoppers — FC Sion · Swiss Super League | X/2 | 1.21 | 1.26 | -3.8% | Won | |
| Ludogorets II — Fratria · Bulgaria Second League | 1/2 | 1.20 | 1.20 | -0.2% | Lost | |
| Super Nova — Riga · Latvia Virsliga VALUE → | 2 | 1.22 | 1.24 | -1.6% | Won | |
| Raków Częstochowa — Zaglebie Lubin · Ekstraklasa | 1 | 1.62 | 1.77 | -8.5% | Lost | |
| Lokomotiv G. Oryahovitsa — Nesebar · Bulgaria Second League | 1/X | 1.16 | 1.25 | -7.4% | Won | |
| Rangers de Talca — Deportes Iquique · Chile Primera B VALUE → | 1/X | 1.24 | 1.28 | -3.2% | Lost | |
| Union La Calera — Deportes Limache · Primera Division Chile | 1/2 | 1.32 | 1.33 | -0.7% | Won | |
| Bahia — Remo · Brazil Serie A VALUE → | 1 | 1.43 | 1.46 | -2.1% | Won | |
| Independiente F.b.c. — Encarnación · Paraguay Division Intermedia VALUE → | 1/X | 1.25 | 1.32 | -4.9% | Won | |
| Atletico Torque — Liverpool Montevideo · Uruguay Primera Division VALUE → | 1/2 | 1.31 | 1.32 | -0.8% | Won | |
| Banfield — Barracas Central · Argentina Liga Profesional | 1/X | 1.33 | 1.39 | -4.0% | Won | |
| Deportes Santa Cruz — Recoleta · Chile Primera B | 1/2 | 1.29 | 1.30 | -0.8% | Lost | |
| Portland Timbers II — St. Louis City II · MLS Next Pro VALUE → | 1/2 | 1.23 | 1.23 | +0.2% | Lost | |
| Benjamín Aceval — Paraguari AC · Paraguay Division Intermedia | 1/X | 1.22 | 1.26 | -2.5% | Lost | |
| Moreirense — Maritimo · Primeira Liga VALUE → | 1/2 | 1.33 | 1.39 | -4.4% | Won | |
| SC Braga — Estoril · Primeira Liga VALUE → | 1 | 1.45 | 1.39 | +4.3% | Won | |
| Villarreal — Real Betis · La Liga | 1/2 | 1.28 | 1.28 | -0.1% | Won | |
| Leeds — Newcastle · Premier League VALUE → | 1/2 | 1.32 | 1.35 | -2.5% | Won | |
| RED Star FC 93 — Metz · Ligue 2 VALUE → | 1/2 | 1.34 | 1.34 | +0.1% | Won | |
| Sligo Rovers — Galway United · Premier Division VALUE → | 1/2 | 1.31 | 1.28 | +1.7% | Won | |
| Shelbourne — Drogheda United · Premier Division VALUE → | 1 | 1.70 | 1.82 | -6.6% | Lost | |
| Waterford — Derry City · Premier Division | 1/2 | 1.28 | 1.29 | -0.5% | Lost | |
| Dundalk — St Patrick's Athl. · Premier Division VALUE → | 1/2 | 1.28 | 1.27 | +0.7% | Won | |
| Inter — Udinese · Serie A VALUE → | 1 | 1.29 | 1.24 | +4.0% | Won | |
| Celta de Vigo II — Eibar · Segunda Division VALUE → | X/2 | 1.29 | 1.32 | -2.5% | Won | |
| FCSB — Petrolul Ploiesti · Romania Liga I | 1 | 1.45 | 1.37 | +5.8% | Lost | |
| Rio Ave — Estrela · Primeira Liga VALUE → | 1/2 | 1.35 | 1.36 | -0.9% | Lost | |
| Ostersunds FK — Helsingborg · Superettan | 1 | 1.73 | 1.85 | -6.5% | Won | |
| Stal Mielec — Nieciecza · Poland I Liga | 1/2 | 1.25 | 1.28 | -2.2% | Won | |
| Gaziantep FK — Fenerbahçe · Süper Lig | 2 | 1.56 | 1.48 | +5.4% | Lost | |
| Radomiak Radom — Piast Gliwice · Ekstraklasa | 1/2 | 1.29 | 1.31 | -1.6% | Won | |
| FC Midtjylland — Brondby · Danish Superliga | 1/X | 1.22 | 1.26 | -3.5% | Won | |
| Norrby IF — Varbergs BoIS FC · Superettan | 1/2 | 1.28 | 1.29 | -0.7% | Won | |
| Orebro SK — United Nordic · Superettan | 1/2 | 1.27 | 1.29 | -1.0% | Lost | |
| Sirius — Degerfors IF · Allsvenskan | 1 | 1.43 | 1.46 | -2.1% | Won | |
| Djurgardens IF — Gais · Allsvenskan VALUE → | 1 | 1.55 | 1.48 | +4.7% | Won | |
| Como — Parma · Serie A VALUE → | 1 | 1.24 | 1.23 | +0.8% | Won | |
| Torino — AS Roma · Serie A VALUE → | 2 | 1.60 | 1.54 | +3.9% | Won | |
| FA Šiauliai II — Be1 NFA · Lithuania 1 Lyga VALUE → | 2 | 1.50 | 1.54 | -2.6% | Won |
Nothing here is cherry-picked. Each row was written to our database before the match started and is immutable. CLV — beating the closing price of a sharp bookmaker — is the metric most strongly shown to correlate with a real long-term edge; win rate and short-run profit are mostly noise until the sample is large.