We log each prediction before kick-off — odds and all — and never touch it again. Wins and losses, in the open. Measured by closing line value — one of the strongest publicly measurable leading indicators of a long-term edge.
Filtered view — 429 predictions match.
odds we took vs the closing line — the sharp benchmark
The full record is published daily to an external, append-only public log (Git history + OpenTimestamps), so it is independently verifiable — not even we can rewrite a past record undetectably. Verify on the public log →
External independent verification has been active since 20 June 2026. Earlier records are preserved in our internal ledger but were not externally timestamped before kick-off.
✈ Follow the live audit on Telegram| Date | Match | Value bet | Soft odds | Fair | Close | CLV | Result | Profit |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Galway United — Waterford · Premier Division | 1 · Galway United | 2.00 | 1.92 | 2.14 | -6.5% | Lost | -1.00 | |
| Jonava — Garliava · Lithuania 1 Lyga | 1 · Jonava | 3.25 | 3.09 | 2.78 | +16.9% | Won | +2.25 | |
| Kalmar FF — Mjallby AIF · Allsvenskan | 2 · Mjallby AIF | 3.05 | 2.94 | 2.53 | +20.6% | Lost | -1.00 | |
| Sportist Svoge — Montana · Bulgaria Second League | 1 · Sportist Svoge | 2.92 | 2.83 | 2.53 | +15.4% | Lost | -1.00 | |
| Teplice — Bohemians 1905 · Czech Liga | X · Draw | 3.30 | 3.24 | 3.15 | +4.8% | Lost | -1.00 | |
| Kristiansund BK — Start · Eliteserien | 1 · Kristiansund BK | 2.28 | 2.26 | 2.27 | +0.4% | Lost | -1.00 | |
| Neptūną Klaipėda — FA Šiauliai II · Lithuania 1 Lyga | 1 · Neptūną Klaipėda | 1.34 | 1.23 | 1.23 | +8.9% | Won | +0.34 | |
| Atlantis — HPS · Kakkonen | 1 · Atlantis | 1.75 | 1.73 | 1.64 | +6.7% | Won | +0.75 | |
| IFK Varnamo — IK brage · Superettan | 1 · IFK Varnamo | 2.28 | 2.23 | 2.19 | +4.1% | Lost | -1.00 | |
| MP — Kooteepee · Ykkösliiga | 2 · Kooteepee | 1.60 | 1.59 | 1.53 | +4.6% | Lost | -1.00 | |
| Degerfors IF — Djurgardens IF · Allsvenskan | 2 · Djurgardens IF | 1.85 | 1.79 | 1.68 | +10.1% | Won | +0.85 | |
| Haka — KäPa · Ykkösliiga | 1 · Haka | 1.50 | 1.46 | 1.44 | +4.2% | Won | +0.50 | |
| Jiangxi Liansheng — Shenzhen 2028 · China League Two | X · Draw | 3.00 | 2.98 | 2.70 | +11.1% | Lost | -1.00 | |
| Hwaseong — Asan Mugunghwa · K League 2 | 1 · Hwaseong | 2.38 | 2.37 | 2.28 | +4.4% | Won | +1.38 | |
| Busan I Park — Suwon Bluewings · K League 2 | X · Draw | 3.30 | 3.19 | 3.21 | +2.8% | Lost | -1.00 | |
| Velez Sarsfield — Instituto Cordoba · Argentina Liga Profesional | X · Draw | 3.20 | 3.13 | 3.00 | +6.7% | Lost | -1.00 | |
| Gimnasia M. — Central Cordoba de Santiago · Argentina Liga Profesional | 1 · Gimnasia M. | 1.98 | 1.86 | 1.97 | +0.5% | Won | +0.98 | |
| Njardvik — HK Kopavogur · 1. Deild | 1 · Njardvik | 2.19 | 2.18 | 2.22 | -1.4% | Won | +1.19 | |
| St Patrick's Athl. — Dundalk · Premier Division | 1 · St Patrick's Athl. | 1.74 | 1.67 | 1.51 | +15.2% | Lost | -1.00 | |
| Völsungur — Grindavik · 1. Deild | 1 · Völsungur | 3.50 | 3.29 | 3.26 | +7.4% | Won | +2.50 | |
| Botafogo SP — Juventude · Brazil Serie B | 1 · Botafogo SP | 2.55 | 2.52 | 2.68 | -4.9% | Won | +1.55 | |
| Belgrano Cordoba — Rosario Central · Argentina Liga Profesional | X · Draw | 2.98 | 2.94 | 2.86 | +4.2% | Lost | -1.00 | |
| Operario-PR — Ponte Preta · Brazil Serie B | 1 · Operario-PR | 1.45 | 1.41 | 1.31 | +10.7% | Won | +0.45 | |
| Ceara — CRB · Brazil Serie B | 1 · Ceara | 2.16 | 2.05 | 2.27 | -4.8% | Lost | -1.00 | |
| Independiente Medellin — Vasco DA Gama · Copa Sudamericana | X · Draw | 3.35 | 3.30 | 2.94 | +13.9% | Won | +2.35 | |
| Bodo/Glimt — Ham-Kam · Eliteserien | 1 · Bodo/Glimt | 1.20 | 1.18 | 1.09 | +10.1% | Won | +0.20 | |
| Lillestrom — Viking · Eliteserien | 2 · Viking | 2.40 | 2.30 | 2.04 | +17.6% | Won | +1.40 | |
| Vila Nova — Fortaleza EC · Brazil Serie B | 1 · Vila Nova | 2.63 | 2.59 | 2.60 | +1.2% | Won | +1.63 | |
| Novorizontino — Criciuma · Brazil Serie B | 1 · Novorizontino | 2.38 | 2.21 | 2.25 | +5.8% | Lost | -1.00 | |
| Londrina — Botafogo SP · Brazil Serie B | 1 · Londrina | 2.60 | 2.52 | 3.10 | -16.1% | Lost | -1.00 | |
| FH hafnarfjordur — Breidablik · Urvalsdeild | 2 · Breidablik | 2.12 | 2.09 | 2.24 | -5.4% | Lost | -1.00 | |
| Kalmar FF — Malmo FF · Allsvenskan | 1 · Kalmar FF | 2.80 | 2.67 | 2.39 | +17.2% | Lost | -1.00 | |
| IBV Vestmannaeyjar — KA Akureyri · Urvalsdeild | 1 · IBV Vestmannaeyjar | 2.65 | 2.46 | 2.22 | +19.4% | Lost | -1.00 | |
| Grotta — Ægir · 1. Deild | 1 · Grotta | 1.83 | 1.65 | 1.53 | +19.6% | Won | +0.83 | |
| SJK — KuPS · Veikkausliiga | 1 · SJK | 3.50 | 3.29 | 2.34 | +49.6% | Lost | -1.00 | |
| Kristiansund BK — Sarpsborg 08 FF · Eliteserien | 2 · Sarpsborg 08 FF | 2.32 | 2.30 | 2.30 | +0.9% | Lost | -1.00 | |
| EIF — JäPS · Ykkösliiga | 1 · EIF | 2.22 | 2.19 | 1.99 | +11.6% | Lost | -1.00 | |
| AIK Stockholm — Gais · Allsvenskan | 1 · AIK Stockholm | 2.85 | 2.78 | 3.08 | -7.5% | Won | +1.85 | |
| Ham-Kam — Tromso · Eliteserien | X · Draw | 3.45 | 3.24 | 3.46 | -0.3% | Lost | -1.00 | |
| Chongqing Tongliang Long — Hangzhou Greentown · China Super League | 2 · Hangzhou Greentown | 2.90 | 2.59 | 2.72 | +6.6% | Lost | -1.00 | |
| Fortaleza EC — Novorizontino · Brazil Serie B | X · Draw | 3.30 | 3.06 | 3.20 | +3.1% | Lost | -1.00 | |
| Mirassol — Gremio · Brazil Serie A | 1 · Mirassol | 2.17 | 2.07 | 1.94 | +11.9% | Won | +1.17 | |
| Fluminense — RB Bragantino · Brazil Serie A | 1 · Fluminense | 2.08 | 2.05 | 1.88 | +10.6% | Lost | -1.00 | |
| Yunnan Yukun — SHANGHAI SIPG · China Super League | 2 · SHANGHAI SIPG | 2.55 | 2.52 | 2.73 | -6.6% | Lost | -1.00 | |
| CRB — Nautico Recife · Brazil Serie B | X · Draw | 3.55 | 3.27 | 3.46 | +2.6% | Lost | -1.00 | |
| Vitoria — Vasco DA Gama · Brazil Serie A | 1 · Vitoria | 2.56 | 2.51 | 2.58 | -0.8% | Won | +1.56 | |
| Botafogo — Santos · Brazil Serie A | 1 · Botafogo | 2.10 | 2.08 | 2.27 | -7.5% | Won | +1.10 | |
| Afturelding — Leiknir R. · 1. Deild | 1 · Afturelding | 1.45 | 1.42 | 1.29 | +12.4% | Won | +0.45 | |
| Grotta — Grindavik · 1. Deild | 1 · Grotta | 2.14 | 2.03 | 2.16 | -0.9% | Lost | -1.00 | |
| Ceara — Athletic Club · Brazil Serie B | 1 · Ceara | 2.02 | 1.90 | 1.95 | +3.6% | Lost | -1.00 |
Nothing here is cherry-picked. Each row was written to our database before the match started and is immutable. CLV — beating the closing price of a sharp bookmaker — is the metric most strongly shown to correlate with a real long-term edge; win rate and short-run profit are mostly noise until the sample is large.