Draw predictions this weekend
The fair chance of a draw in each match, from Pinnacle's current 1X2 price with the bookmaker margin removed, most likely draws first: the market's number, not our opinion.
Pinnacle's price with the bookmaker margin removed; each row shows how old it is. A bookmaker above the fair price is not a value flag here.
How these numbers are made
Draw probabilities come from the sharp market's current 1X2 price (Pinnacle) with the bookmaker margin removed; matches without a fresh Pinnacle price are left out. Even a 33% draw still ends with a winner two times in three. The best price is the highest current draw odd at a regular bookmaker (no exchanges). A bookmaker above the fair price is not a value flag here. Most likely draws first. Why draws in Italy's Serie A and B looked underpriced in past seasons, and our pre-registered test of it →
| Time | Match | Draw | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31% fair 3.23 best 3.16 · GTbets | 42% fair 2.36 best 2.25 · Coolbet | 27% fair 3.76 best 3.57 · GTbets | ||
| 31% fair 3.23 best 3.22 · 1xBet | 34% fair 2.93 best 2.80 · Coolbet | 35% fair 2.86 best 2.75 · Unibet (NL) | ||
| 30% fair 3.34 best 3.40 · Coolbet | 39% fair 2.58 best 2.55 · Unibet (NL) | 31% fair 3.19 best 2.90 · Codere (IT) | ||
| 30% fair 3.37 best 3.30 · Coolbet | 32% fair 3.16 best 3.15 · Unibet (NL) | 39% fair 2.58 best 2.46 · BetOnline.ag | ||
| 29% fair 3.39 best 3.16 · 1xBet | 40% fair 2.48 best 2.38 · LeoVegas (SE) | 30% fair 3.30 best 3.10 · BetOnline.ag | ||
| 29% fair 3.41 best 3.25 · 1xBet | 42% fair 2.40 best 2.31 · 1xBet | 29% fair 3.45 best 3.60 · LeoVegas (SE) | ||
| 29% fair 3.41 best 3.40 · Coolbet | 40% fair 2.47 best 2.34 · 1xBet | 30% fair 3.30 best 3.25 · Nordic Bet | ||
| 29% fair 3.43 best 3.40 · Coolbet | 32% fair 3.13 best 2.95 · Tipico | 39% fair 2.57 best 2.50 · Unibet (NL) | ||
| 29% fair 3.47 best 3.40 · Coolbet | 37% fair 2.70 best 2.55 · Coolbet | 34% fair 2.93 best 2.72 · Nordic Bet | ||
| 29% fair 3.48 best 3.52 · 1xBet | 33% fair 3.04 best 2.95 · Tipico | 38% fair 2.61 best 2.65 · 1xBet | ||
| 29% fair 3.48 best 3.57 · 1xBet | 36% fair 2.77 best 2.68 · 1xBet | 35% fair 2.85 best 2.80 · Unibet (NL) | ||
| 29% fair 3.48 best 3.30 · Coolbet | 44% fair 2.27 best 2.08 · Coolbet | 27% fair 3.67 best 3.70 · Nordic Bet | ||
| 29% fair 3.50 best 3.46 · 1xBet | 25% fair 4.05 best 3.90 · Tipico | 47% fair 2.14 best 2.09 · 1xBet | ||
| 28% fair 3.53 best 3.50 · Coolbet | 33% fair 3.07 best 3.10 · Tipico | 39% fair 2.56 best 2.41 · GTbets | ||
| 28% fair 3.55 best 3.40 · Coolbet | 44% fair 2.26 best 2.20 · Codere (IT) | 28% fair 3.64 best 3.45 · Unibet (NL) | ||
| 28% fair 3.55 best 3.51 · GTbets | 42% fair 2.37 best 2.45 · Unibet (NL) | 30% fair 3.38 best 3.20 · BetOnline.ag | ||
| 28% fair 3.56 best 3.50 · Coolbet | 36% fair 2.76 best 2.69 · 1xBet | 36% fair 2.81 best 2.70 · Tipico | ||
| 28% fair 3.56 best 3.24 · 1xBet | 31% fair 3.18 best 3.15 · Unibet (NL) | 40% fair 2.47 best 2.36 · 1xBet | ||
| 28% fair 3.56 best 3.40 · Coolbet | 31% fair 3.18 best 2.96 · BetOnline.ag | 40% fair 2.47 best 2.55 · Unibet (NL) | ||
| 28% fair 3.57 best 3.52 · 1xBet | 27% fair 3.65 best 3.60 · Tipico | 45% fair 2.24 best 2.30 · Coolbet | ||
| 28% fair 3.58 best 3.30 · LeoVegas (SE) | 36% fair 2.81 best 3.10 · 888sport | 36% fair 2.74 best 2.63 · LeoVegas (SE) | ||
| 28% fair 3.59 best 3.55 · Unibet (NL) | 43% fair 2.34 best 2.30 · 1xBet | 29% fair 3.41 best 3.45 · Unibet (NL) | ||
| 28% fair 3.59 best 3.40 · 1xBet | 37% fair 2.70 best 2.55 · Codere (IT) | 35% fair 2.85 best 2.65 · Coolbet | ||
| 28% fair 3.60 best 3.50 · Coolbet | 38% fair 2.66 best 2.55 · Unibet (NL) | 35% fair 2.90 best 2.75 · Codere (IT) | ||
| 28% fair 3.61 best 3.65 · Unibet (NL) | 39% fair 2.57 best 2.46 · BetOnline.ag | 33% fair 3.00 best 2.95 · Unibet (NL) | ||
| 28% fair 3.63 best 3.61 · 1xBet | 32% fair 3.08 best 3.05 · Nordic Bet | 40% fair 2.50 best 2.38 · Unibet (NL) | ||
| 27% fair 3.65 best 3.40 · Coolbet | 46% fair 2.16 best 2.18 · Betsson | 26% fair 3.80 best 3.45 · BetOnline.ag | ||
| 27% fair 3.65 best 3.51 · 1xBet | 35% fair 2.83 best 2.70 · Tipico | 37% fair 2.68 best 2.56 · 1xBet | ||
| 27% fair 3.66 best 3.44 · 1xBet | 48% fair 2.07 best 1.99 · 1xBet | 24% fair 4.13 best 3.75 · Coolbet | ||
| 27% fair 3.66 best 3.60 · Coolbet | 52% fair 1.94 best 1.82 · 1xBet | 21% fair 4.76 best 4.60 · Nordic Bet | ||
| 27% fair 3.66 best 3.50 · Coolbet | 33% fair 3.07 best 2.98 · 1xBet | 40% fair 2.49 best 2.40 · Coolbet | ||
| 27% fair 3.67 best 3.65 · Unibet (SE) | 37% fair 2.69 best 2.90 · Unibet (SE) | 36% fair 2.81 best 2.68 · Betsson | ||
| 27% fair 3.67 best 3.50 · Coolbet | 46% fair 2.16 best 2.12 · 1xBet | 27% fair 3.77 best 3.50 · Tipico | ||
| 27% fair 3.68 best 3.60 · Coolbet | 44% fair 2.28 best 2.20 · Nordic Bet | 29% fair 3.46 best 3.33 · 1xBet | ||
| 27% fair 3.69 best 3.44 · 1xBet | 47% fair 2.11 best 2.10 · Unibet (NL) | 25% fair 3.93 best 3.60 · BetOnline.ag | ||
| 27% fair 3.69 best 3.50 · Coolbet | 48% fair 2.10 best 2.06 · Unibet (NL) | 25% fair 3.97 best 3.75 · Coolbet | ||
| 27% fair 3.69 best 3.60 · Coolbet | 36% fair 2.74 best 2.60 · BetOnline.ag | 36% fair 2.74 best 2.65 · Tipico | ||
| 27% fair 3.71 best 3.75 · Unibet (SE) | 27% fair 3.69 best 4.00 · Unibet (SE) | 46% fair 2.18 best 2.10 · 1xBet | ||
| 27% fair 3.72 best 3.60 · Coolbet | 46% fair 2.18 best 2.16 · Codere (IT) | 27% fair 3.66 best 3.40 · Codere (IT) | ||
| 27% fair 3.73 best 3.75 · Coolbet | 40% fair 2.51 best 2.48 · Unibet (NL) | 33% fair 2.99 best 2.95 · Coolbet | ||
| 27% fair 3.74 best 3.60 · Coolbet | 39% fair 2.59 best 2.50 · Unibet (NL) | 35% fair 2.88 best 2.75 · Coolbet | ||
| 27% fair 3.74 best 3.50 · Tipico | 46% fair 2.16 best 2.08 · GTbets | 27% fair 3.70 best 3.50 · LeoVegas (SE) | ||
| 27% fair 3.74 best 3.65 · GTbets | 38% fair 2.60 best 2.50 · Coolbet | 35% fair 2.87 best 2.80 · Tipico | ||
| 27% fair 3.75 best 3.73 · 1xBet | 20% fair 4.92 best 4.88 · Coolbet | 53% fair 1.89 best 1.87 · Unibet (NL) | ||
| 27% fair 3.75 best 3.75 · Coolbet | 39% fair 2.60 best 2.52 · 1xBet | 35% fair 2.87 best 2.88 · LeoVegas (SE) | ||
| 27% fair 3.75 best 3.70 · Unibet (SE) | 40% fair 2.51 best 2.55 · Unibet (SE) | 34% fair 2.98 best 2.88 · Betsson | ||
| 27% fair 3.75 best 3.69 · 1xBet | 20% fair 4.89 best 4.80 · Tipico | 53% fair 1.89 best 1.93 · Unibet (SE) | ||
| 27% fair 3.75 best 3.63 · 1xBet | 48% fair 2.09 best 2.06 · 1xBet | 25% fair 3.93 best 3.80 · Nordic Bet | ||
| 27% fair 3.76 best 3.65 · BetOnline.ag | 43% fair 2.32 best 2.26 · GTbets | 30% fair 3.30 best 3.23 · GTbets | ||
| 27% fair 3.76 best 3.60 · Coolbet | 35% fair 2.90 best 2.80 · 1xBet | 39% fair 2.57 best 2.45 · Tipico | ||
| 27% fair 3.77 best 3.75 · Coolbet | 33% fair 3.00 best 2.83 · BetOnline.ag | 40% fair 2.50 best 2.42 · GTbets | ||
| 27% fair 3.77 best 3.50 · Coolbet | 47% fair 2.15 best 2.10 · 1xBet | 27% fair 3.71 best 3.85 · LeoVegas (SE) | ||
| 27% fair 3.77 best 3.60 · Tipico | 33% fair 3.02 best 2.85 · Tipico | 40% fair 2.48 best 2.48 · Unibet (NL) | ||
| 26% fair 3.78 best 3.63 · 1xBet | 51% fair 1.97 best 1.96 · 1xBet | 23% fair 4.39 best 4.00 · Coolbet | ||
| 26% fair 3.78 best 3.60 · Coolbet | 45% fair 2.24 best 2.23 · Unibet (NL) | 29% fair 3.47 best 3.31 · 1xBet | ||
| 26% fair 3.79 best 3.60 · Coolbet | 43% fair 2.31 best 2.30 · Coolbet | 30% fair 3.29 best 3.10 · 1xBet | ||
| 26% fair 3.81 best 3.75 · Coolbet | 39% fair 2.59 best 2.44 · BetOnline.ag | 35% fair 2.84 best 2.70 · Unibet (NL) | ||
| 26% fair 3.81 best 3.60 · Winamax (DE) | 38% fair 2.64 best 2.52 · 1xBet | 36% fair 2.79 best 2.70 · Tipico | ||
| 26% fair 3.81 best 3.55 · Coolbet | 47% fair 2.14 best 2.07 · Coolbet | 27% fair 3.70 best 3.53 · GTbets | ||
| 26% fair 3.81 best 3.80 · 1xBet | 33% fair 3.07 best 3.04 · 1xBet | 41% fair 2.43 best 2.50 · LeoVegas (SE) | ||
| 26% fair 3.82 best 3.40 · Coolbet | 25% fair 4.06 best 3.80 · Nordic Bet | 49% fair 2.03 best 1.98 · 1xBet | ||
| 26% fair 3.82 best 3.66 · BetOnline.ag | 41% fair 2.46 best 2.36 · Codere (IT) | 33% fair 3.01 best 2.87 · BetOnline.ag | ||
| 26% fair 3.83 best 3.52 · 1xBet | 32% fair 3.09 best 2.91 · GTbets | 42% fair 2.41 best 2.33 · Unibet (NL) | ||
| 26% fair 3.83 best 3.84 · 1xBet | 26% fair 3.79 best 3.70 · Tipico | 47% fair 2.11 best 2.14 · LeoVegas (SE) | ||
| 26% fair 3.83 best 3.75 · Coolbet | 41% fair 2.44 best 2.36 · BetOnline.ag | 33% fair 3.04 best 2.98 · GTbets | ||
| 26% fair 3.83 best 3.90 · Unibet (NL) | 38% fair 2.63 best 2.52 · BetOnline.ag | 36% fair 2.79 best 2.80 · Unibet (NL) | ||
| 26% fair 3.84 best 3.80 · LeoVegas (SE) | 31% fair 3.18 best 3.04 · 1xBet | 42% fair 2.35 best 2.48 · LeoVegas (SE) | ||
| 26% fair 3.84 best 3.60 · Coolbet | 34% fair 2.95 best 2.84 · 1xBet | 40% fair 2.50 best 2.36 · Codere (IT) | ||
| 26% fair 3.84 best 3.75 · Coolbet | 54% fair 1.85 best 1.80 · Codere (IT) | 20% fair 5.06 best 4.70 · Unibet (NL) | ||
| 26% fair 3.84 best 3.75 · Coolbet | 46% fair 2.15 best 2.08 · 1xBet | 27% fair 3.64 best 3.45 · BetOnline.ag | ||
| 26% fair 3.86 best 3.94 · 1xBet | 46% fair 2.19 best 2.13 · Codere (IT) | 28% fair 3.52 best 3.65 · LeoVegas (SE) | ||
| 26% fair 3.88 best 3.65 · Unibet (NL) | 52% fair 1.91 best 1.86 · BetOnline.ag | 22% fair 4.59 best 4.30 · Codere (IT) | ||
| 26% fair 3.90 best 3.75 · Coolbet | 50% fair 2.01 best 2.01 · 1xBet | 24% fair 4.09 best 3.90 · Tipico | ||
| 26% fair 3.90 best 3.85 · 1xBet | 54% fair 1.87 best 1.87 · 1xBet | 21% fair 4.82 best 4.80 · Unibet (SE) | ||
| 26% fair 3.90 best 3.85 · Coolbet | 30% fair 3.34 best 3.22 · BetOnline.ag | 44% fair 2.25 best 2.17 · Unibet (NL) | ||
| 26% fair 3.90 best 3.83 · 1xBet | 35% fair 2.84 best 2.82 · 1xBet | 39% fair 2.55 best 2.57 · Coolbet | ||
| 26% fair 3.90 best 3.90 · Unibet (NL) | 35% fair 2.87 best 2.75 · 1xBet | 40% fair 2.53 best 2.55 · Unibet (NL) | ||
| 26% fair 3.91 best 3.75 · Coolbet | 32% fair 3.17 best 2.95 · Tipico | 43% fair 2.34 best 2.32 · Unibet (SE) | ||
| 26% fair 3.91 best 3.77 · 1xBet | 48% fair 2.10 best 2.20 · Unibet (NL) | 27% fair 3.74 best 3.44 · 1xBet | ||
| 26% fair 3.91 best 3.68 · BetOnline.ag | 45% fair 2.25 best 2.20 · Coolbet | 30% fair 3.35 best 3.25 · Codere (IT) |
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