Tuesday, 03 November 2026
Draw predictions tomorrow
The fair chance of a draw in each match, from Pinnacle's current 1X2 price with the bookmaker margin removed, most likely draws first: the market's number, not our opinion.
Pinnacle's price with the bookmaker margin removed; each row shows how old it is. A bookmaker above the fair price is not a value flag here.
How these numbers are made
Draw probabilities come from the sharp market's current 1X2 price (Pinnacle) with the bookmaker margin removed; matches without a fresh Pinnacle price are left out. Even a 33% draw still ends with a winner two times in three. The best price is the highest current draw odd at a regular bookmaker (no exchanges). A bookmaker above the fair price is not a value flag here. Most likely draws first. Why draws in Italy's Serie A and B looked underpriced in past seasons, and our pre-registered test of it →
| Time | Match | Draw | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|---|
 Stade Tunisien
 Club Africain
Tunisia Ligue 1 · fair price updated
|
35% fair 2.85 — | 34% fair 2.95 — | 31% fair 3.23 — | |
 Atletico Tucuman
 Argentinos JRS
Argentina Liga Profesional · fair price updated
|
32% fair 3.17 best 3.10 · BetOnline.ag | 32% fair 3.11 best 3.05 · Unibet (SE) | 36% fair 2.76 best 2.65 · Nordic Bet | |
 Chrobry Głogów
 Arka Gdynia
Poland I Liga · fair price updated
|
30% fair 3.36 best 3.25 · BetVictor | 35% fair 2.86 best 2.77 · Betano | 35% fair 2.83 best 2.50 · Dafabet | |
 2 de Mayo
 Sportivo Trinidense
Paraguay Division Profesional - Clausura · fair price updated
|
29% fair 3.42 — | 28% fair 3.60 — | 43% fair 2.32 — | |
 Portsmouth
 Swansea
Championship · fair price updated
|
29% fair 3.45 best 3.40 · LeoVegas (SE) | 35% fair 2.84 best 2.76 · Nordic Bet | 36% fair 2.79 best 2.67 · BetOnline.ag | |
 Bucaramanga
 Atletico Nacional
Primera A · fair price updated
|
29% fair 3.47 best 3.38 · 1xBet | 30% fair 3.34 best 3.20 · Bet365 | 41% fair 2.43 best 2.25 · William Hill | |
 Blackburn
 Stoke City
Championship · fair price updated
|
29% fair 3.49 best 3.45 · LeoVegas (SE) | 36% fair 2.76 best 2.70 · Codere (IT) | 35% fair 2.85 best 2.85 · LeoVegas (SE) | |
 FC Ryukyu
 FC Gifu
Japan J3 League · fair price updated
|
28% fair 3.53 — | 33% fair 3.04 — | 39% fair 2.58 — | |
 Comerciantes Unidos
 ADT
Peru Liga 1 · fair price updated
|
28% fair 3.54 best 3.55 · Betano | 43% fair 2.31 best 2.22 · Betano | 28% fair 3.51 best 3.40 · Bet365 | |
 Renofa Yamaguchi
 Kagoshima United
Japan J3 League · fair price updated
|
27% fair 3.65 — | 36% fair 2.80 — | 37% fair 2.72 — | |
 Esteghlal FC
 Al Shamal
AFC Champions League Elite · fair price updated
|
27% fair 3.67 — | 44% fair 2.25 — | 28% fair 3.53 — | |
 Watford
 Lincoln
Championship · fair price updated
|
27% fair 3.70 best 3.50 · LeoVegas (SE) | 39% fair 2.57 best 2.50 · Coolbet | 34% fair 2.94 best 2.95 · LeoVegas (SE) | |
 Chapecoense-sc
 Mirassol
Brazil Serie A · fair price updated
|
27% fair 3.75 best 3.75 · Coolbet | 26% fair 3.80 best 3.60 · Tipico | 47% fair 2.13 best 2.09 · Codere (IT) | |
 Charlton
 Bolton
Championship · fair price updated
|
26% fair 3.80 best 3.61 · Nordic Bet | 43% fair 2.34 best 2.34 · Codere (IT) | 31% fair 3.22 best 3.20 · LeoVegas (SE) | |
 West Brom
 Southampton
Championship · fair price updated
|
26% fair 3.81 best 3.70 · LeoVegas (SE) | 39% fair 2.59 best 2.55 · LeoVegas (SE) | 35% fair 2.85 best 2.75 · BetOnline.ag | |
 Gainare Tottori
 Sagamihara
Japan J3 League · fair price updated
|
26% fair 3.81 — | 27% fair 3.77 — | 47% fair 2.12 — | |
 Derby
 Norwich
Championship · fair price updated
|
26% fair 3.82 best 3.80 · BetOnline.ag | 28% fair 3.53 best 3.50 · LeoVegas (SE) | 45% fair 2.20 best 2.14 · Codere (IT) | |
 East Bengal II
 Al Seeb
AFC Champions League Two · fair price updated
|
26% fair 3.83 — | 42% fair 2.36 — | 32% fair 3.17 — | |
 Công An Nhân Dân
 Kyoto Sanga
AFC Champions League Elite · fair price updated
|
26% fair 3.85 — | 36% fair 2.79 — | 38% fair 2.62 — | |
 Jeonbuk Motors
 Johor Darul Takzim FC
AFC Champions League Elite · fair price updated
|
26% fair 3.85 — | 34% fair 2.95 — | 40% fair 2.49 — | |
 Birmingham
 Millwall
Championship · fair price updated
|
26% fair 3.88 best 3.65 · LeoVegas (SE) | 49% fair 2.04 best 2.02 · LeoVegas (SE) | 25% fair 3.96 best 3.85 · BetOnline.ag | |
 QPR
 Burnley
Championship · fair price updated
|
25% fair 4.00 best 3.80 · LeoVegas (SE) | 48% fair 2.07 best 2.06 · Codere (IT) | 27% fair 3.74 best 3.75 · LeoVegas (SE) | |
 Shakhtar Donetsk
 Sporting CP
UEFA Champions League · fair price updated
|
25% fair 4.03 best 3.92 · 1xBet | 26% fair 3.77 best 3.82 · 1xBet | 49% fair 2.05 best 2.02 · Unibet (NL) | |
 Preston
 Sheffield Utd
Championship · fair price updated
|
25% fair 4.04 best 3.80 · BetOnline.ag | 28% fair 3.61 best 3.45 · LeoVegas (SE) | 48% fair 2.10 best 2.14 · Codere (IT) | |
 Tochigi SC
 Fukushima United
Japan J3 League · fair price updated
|
25% fair 4.05 — | 49% fair 2.04 — | 26% fair 3.81 — | |
 Pogoń Siedlce
 Ruch Chorzów
Poland I Liga · fair price updated
|
25% fair 4.08 best 3.70 · Dafabet | 21% fair 4.76 best 4.20 · BetVictor | 54% fair 1.84 best 1.79 · Dafabet | |
 Newcastle Jets
 SHANGHAI SIPG
AFC Champions League Elite · fair price updated
|
24% fair 4.11 — | 34% fair 2.97 — | 42% fair 2.38 — | |
 Kochi United
 Ehime FC
Japan J3 League · fair price updated
|
24% fair 4.11 — | 28% fair 3.53 — | 47% fair 2.11 — | |
 Deportivo Pasto
 Jaguares
Primera A · fair price updated
|
24% fair 4.17 best 3.85 · Betano | 58% fair 1.73 best 1.72 · Betano | 18% fair 5.50 best 5.50 · Bet365 | |
 Kamatamare Sanuki
 Matsumoto Yamaga
Japan J3 League · fair price updated
|
24% fair 4.18 — | 22% fair 4.54 — | 54% fair 1.85 — | |
 Manchester United
 AS Roma
UEFA Champions League · fair price updated
|
23% fair 4.30 best 4.13 · BetOnline.ag | 44% fair 2.29 best 2.38 · Coolbet | 33% fair 3.02 best 3.00 · Unibet (NL) | |
 Deportivo Pereira
 Deportes Tolima
Primera A · fair price updated
|
23% fair 4.35 best 4.05 · 1xBet | 14% fair 7.03 best 7.20 · Betano | 63% fair 1.59 best 1.57 · Betano | |
 Nara Club
 Thespakusatsu Gunma
Japan J3 League · fair price updated
|
23% fair 4.38 — | 54% fair 1.84 — | 23% fair 4.40 — | |
 Bodo/Glimt
 Lille
UEFA Champions League · fair price updated
|
23% fair 4.38 best 4.20 · Unibet (NL) | 54% fair 1.87 best 1.92 · 1xBet | 24% fair 4.24 best 4.10 · Nordic Bet | |
 Kanazawa
 Parceiro Nagano
Japan J3 League · fair price updated
|
23% fair 4.39 — | 59% fair 1.70 — | 19% fair 5.39 — | |
 Galatasaray
 VfB Stuttgart
UEFA Champions League · fair price updated
|
23% fair 4.39 best 4.26 · 1xBet | 45% fair 2.24 best 2.27 · GTbets | 33% fair 3.07 best 3.00 · Unibet (NL) | |
 Independ. Rivadavia
 Banfield
Argentina Liga Profesional · fair price updated
|
23% fair 4.40 best 4.19 · BetOnline.ag | 61% fair 1.63 best 1.59 · BetOnline.ag | 16% fair 6.30 best 6.10 · Unibet (SE) | |
 Kitakyushu
 Biwako Shiga
Japan J3 League · fair price updated
|
23% fair 4.41 — | 37% fair 2.71 — | 40% fair 2.48 — | |
 Mushuc Runa SC
 Manta FC
Ecuador LigaPro · fair price updated
|
22% fair 4.47 best 3.95 · Betano | 63% fair 1.58 best 1.62 · Betano | 14% fair 6.91 best 6.30 · Betano | |
 Feyenoord
 Inter
UEFA Champions League · fair price updated
|
22% fair 4.48 best 4.37 · 1xBet | 25% fair 4.05 best 4.07 · 1xBet | 53% fair 1.89 best 1.88 · Codere (IT) | |
 Kashiwa Reysol
 Daejeon Citizen
AFC Champions League Elite · fair price updated
|
21% fair 4.73 — | 61% fair 1.64 — | 18% fair 5.63 — | |
 Port FC
 Beijing Guoan
AFC Champions League Elite · fair price updated
|
21% fair 4.78 — | 25% fair 4.01 — | 54% fair 1.85 — | |
 Villarreal
 Paris Saint Germain
UEFA Champions League · fair price updated
|
20% fair 4.98 best 4.90 · Coolbet | 20% fair 5.08 best 5.30 · Unibet (NL) | 60% fair 1.66 best 1.65 · GTbets | |
 Lask Linz
 Slovan Bratislava
UEFA Champions League · fair price updated
|
17% fair 6.01 best 5.55 · BetOnline.ag | 70% fair 1.42 best 1.45 · 1xBet | 13% fair 7.66 best 7.50 · Unibet (NL) | |
 Nacional Asuncion
 Club Sp. San Lorenzo
Paraguay Division Profesional - Clausura · fair price updated
|
16% fair 6.38 — | 77% fair 1.30 — | 7% fair 13.38 — | |
 Sirius
 Halmstad
Allsvenskan · fair price updated
|
14% fair 7.32 best 6.25 · Unibet (SE) | 77% fair 1.30 best 1.33 · Coolbet | 10% fair 10.39 best 10.50 · Unibet (SE) | |
 Vissel Kobe
 Ratchaburi
AFC Champions League Elite · fair price updated
|
13% fair 7.91 — | 80% fair 1.25 — | 7% fair 13.55 — | |
 Barcelona
 Aston Villa
UEFA Champions League · fair price updated
|
12% fair 8.13 best 8.00 · Unibet (NL) | 78% fair 1.28 best 1.29 · GTbets | 9% fair 10.53 best 11.40 · 1xBet |
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- Our full track record: every prediction, losses included
