Sat 07 – Sun 08 Nov 2026

Under 3.5 goals predictions this weekend

The fair chance of three goals or fewer in each match, read from Pinnacle's prices with the bookmaker margin removed: the market's number, not our opinion.

Pinnacle's price with the bookmaker margin removed; each row shows how old it is. A bookmaker above the fair price is not a value flag here.

How these numbers are made

Probabilities come from Pinnacle's over/under prices with the bookmaker margin removed. We read them every 3 hours, and several more times in the last 6 hours before kick-off in the leagues our second odds feed covers; the source itself sometimes updates a price only every few hours (occasionally after more than 12), so each row shows its age. A bookmaker above the fair price is not a value flag here. Top leagues first; within a league, the most likely first. Last-10 form is context the market already knows; a number in brackets is how many matches it comes from when fewer than 10. All lines are on each match page.

Under 3.5 goals predictions this weekend
Time Match UnderOver Under 3.5, last 10
Leeds Tottenham Premier League · prices updated 72% fair 1.39 best 1.35 · 1xBet 28% fair 3.58 best 3.40 · Bet365 Home 80% · Away 60%
Sunderland Chelsea Premier League · prices updated 69% fair 1.46 best 1.40 · 1xBet 31% fair 3.20 best 3.10 · BetVictor Home 70% · Away 60%
Ipswich Bournemouth Premier League · prices updated 65% fair 1.53 best 1.50 · Betano 35% fair 2.89 best 2.75 · Bet365 Home 40% · Away 80%
Nottingham Forest Manchester City Premier League · prices updated 64% fair 1.56 best 1.53 · Bet365 36% fair 2.79 best 2.60 · Betano Home 80% · Away 40%
Fulham Newcastle Premier League · prices updated 64% fair 1.56 best 1.52 · Betano 36% fair 2.78 best 2.67 · 1xBet Home 80% · Away 50%
Brighton Brentford Premier League · prices updated 62% fair 1.62 best 1.57 · Marathonbet 38% fair 2.61 best 2.50 · Betano Home 50% · Away 70%
Manchester United Aston Villa Premier League · prices updated 62% fair 1.63 best 1.57 · Marathonbet 38% fair 2.60 best 2.50 · Bet365 Home 70% · Away 50%
Crystal Palace Liverpool Premier League · prices updated 61% fair 1.64 best 1.64 · 1xBet 39% fair 2.56 best 2.46 · 1xBet Home 40% · Away 70%
Arsenal Hull City Premier League · prices updated 57% fair 1.76 best 1.70 · 1xBet 43% fair 2.32 best 2.34 · 1xBet Home 80% · Away 70%
Espanyol Deportivo La Coruna La Liga · prices updated 74% fair 1.36 best 1.33 · Bet365 26% fair 3.81 best 3.60 · 1xBet Home 90% · Away 70%
Celta Vigo Levante La Liga · prices updated 71% fair 1.42 best 1.40 · Betano 29% fair 3.39 best 3.20 · Bet365 Home 90% · Away 50%
Villarreal Getafe La Liga · prices updated 70% fair 1.44 best 1.40 · 1xBet 30% fair 3.30 best 3.10 · Betano Home 50% · Away 70%
Real Sociedad Rayo Vallecano La Liga · prices updated 65% fair 1.54 best 1.50 · Bet365 35% fair 2.86 best 2.67 · Betano Home 50% · Away 70%
Elche Real Betis La Liga · prices updated 65% fair 1.54 best 1.50 · Bet365 35% fair 2.85 best 2.70 · Betano Home 50% · Away 60%
Malaga Racing Santander La Liga · prices updated 64% fair 1.56 best 1.52 · Betano 36% fair 2.78 best 2.64 · 1xBet Home 70% · Away 50%
Valencia Real Madrid La Liga · prices updated 52% fair 1.94 best 1.86 · 1xBet 48% fair 2.06 best 2.10 · 1xBet Home 60% · Away 50%
Atletico Madrid Barcelona La Liga · prices updated 48% fair 2.07 best 1.98 · 1xBet 52% fair 1.94 best 1.96 · 1xBet Home 90% · Away 20%
Torino Lecce Serie A · prices updated 73% fair 1.37 best 1.34 · 1xBet 27% fair 3.72 best 3.40 · Bet365 Home 80% · Away 70%
Napoli Lazio Serie A · prices updated 69% fair 1.45 best 1.44 · Bet365 31% fair 3.20 best 2.91 · 1xBet Home 60% · Away 70%
Fiorentina Juventus Serie A · prices updated 68% fair 1.47 best 1.44 · Bet365 32% fair 3.13 best 2.90 · Betano Home 60% · Away 70%
Monza Atalanta Serie A · prices updated 62% fair 1.62 best 1.57 · Bet365 38% fair 2.61 best 2.47 · Betano Home 30% · Away 50%
Cagliari Frosinone Serie A · prices updated 61% fair 1.65 best 1.64 · 1xBet 39% fair 2.54 best 2.46 · 1xBet Home 80% · Away 60%
Inter Como Serie A · prices updated 58% fair 1.72 best 1.74 · 1xBet 42% fair 2.39 best 2.30 · Bet365 Home 50% · Away 50%
AS Roma Sassuolo Serie A · prices updated 52% fair 1.91 best 1.83 · 1xBet 48% fair 2.10 best 2.13 · 1xBet Home 40% · Away 60%
Stade Brestois 29 Lyon Ligue 1 · prices updated 68% fair 1.47 best 1.46 · 1xBet 32% fair 3.13 best 2.82 · Betano Home 70% · Away 70%
Angers Nice Ligue 1 · prices updated 67% fair 1.49 best 1.47 · Betano 33% fair 3.05 best 2.80 · Betano Home 70% · Away 80%
Auxerre Paris FC Ligue 1 · prices updated 66% fair 1.51 best 1.47 · Betano 34% fair 2.97 best 2.77 · Betano Home 40% · Away 70%
Rennes Lille Ligue 1 · prices updated 64% fair 1.57 best 1.55 · Betano 36% fair 2.76 best 2.60 · 1xBet Home 50% · Away 80%
Le Mans Monaco Ligue 1 · prices updated 62% fair 1.62 best 1.57 · Bet365 38% fair 2.63 best 2.47 · Betano Home 60% · Away 80%
Lens Marseille Ligue 1 · prices updated 57% fair 1.75 best 1.76 · 1xBet 43% fair 2.33 best 2.23 · 1xBet Home 70% · Away 60%
Paris Saint Germain Estac Troyes Ligue 1 · prices updated 44% fair 2.28 best 2.18 · 1xBet 56% fair 1.78 best 1.79 · 1xBet Home 40% · Away 80%
Nacional Academico Viseu Primeira Liga · prices updated 73% fair 1.37 best 1.35 · Betano 27% fair 3.72 best 3.30 · BetVictor Home 60% · Away 90%
Estoril Maritimo Primeira Liga · prices updated 72% fair 1.39 best 1.36 · 1xBet 28% fair 3.56 best 3.25 · Bet365 Home 80% · Away 70%
Rio Ave SC Braga Primeira Liga · prices updated 70% fair 1.42 best 1.42 · Betano 30% fair 3.36 best 3.00 · BetVictor Home 50% · Away 90%
Sporting CP Moreirense Primeira Liga · prices updated 55% fair 1.82 best 1.78 · 1xBet 45% fair 2.22 best 2.13 · 1xBet Home 50% · Away 60%
Eyüpspor Kocaelispor Süper Lig · prices updated 79% fair 1.27 best 1.26 · Betano 21% fair 4.69 best 4.10 · BetVictor Home 70% · Away 100%
Samsunspor Konyaspor Süper Lig · prices updated 74% fair 1.36 best 1.35 · Betano 26% fair 3.80 best 3.40 · Bet365 Home 60% · Away 80%
Rizespor Erzurumspor FK Süper Lig · prices updated 70% fair 1.42 best 1.39 · Betano 30% fair 3.36 best 3.10 · BetVictor Home 80% · Away 70%
Göztepe Başakşehir Süper Lig · prices updated 64% fair 1.57 best 1.55 · Betano 36% fair 2.75 best 2.52 · 1xBet Home 40% · Away 60%
Çorum FK Fenerbahçe Süper Lig · prices updated 64% fair 1.57 best 1.55 · Betano 36% fair 2.74 best 2.52 · Betano Home 60% · Away 70%
Galatasaray Amed Süper Lig · prices updated 55% fair 1.81 best 1.78 · 1xBet 45% fair 2.23 best 2.16 · SBO Home 30% · Away 50%
Granada CF Tenerife Segunda Division · prices updated 78% fair 1.28 best 1.28 · 1xBet 22% fair 4.54 best 3.80 · BetVictor Home 60% · Away 80%
Burgos Celta de Vigo II Segunda Division · prices updated 74% fair 1.36 best 1.36 · 1xBet 26% fair 3.81 best 3.30 · Betano Home 70% · Away 50%
Girona Almeria Segunda Division · prices updated 68% fair 1.48 best 1.47 · 1xBet 32% fair 3.10 best 2.87 · Betano Home 80% · Away 70%
Cuiaba Juventude Brazil Serie B · prices updated 84% fair 1.19 best 1.18 · Betano 16% fair 6.39 best 5.25 · BetVictor Home 100% · Away 60%
Avai São Bernardo Brazil Serie B · prices updated 78% fair 1.28 best 1.26 · Betano 22% fair 4.53 best 3.90 · BetVictor Home 100% · Away 70%
OFI Atromitos Greek Super League · prices updated 74% fair 1.34 best 1.30 · Betano 26% fair 3.91 best 3.55 · Betano Home 80% · Away 80%
Volos NFC Kifisia Greek Super League · prices updated 73% fair 1.38 best 1.30 · Betano 27% fair 3.66 best 3.75 · Bet365 Home 70% · Away 60%
Degerfors IF Gais Allsvenskan · prices updated 72% fair 1.39 best 1.36 · Bet365 28% fair 3.53 best 3.13 · BetVictor Home 90% · Away 80%
Olympiakos Piraeus PAOK Greek Super League · prices updated 71% fair 1.42 best 1.40 · Betano 29% fair 3.39 best 3.05 · Betano Home 80% · Away 50%
Nublense Colo Colo Primera Division Chile · prices updated 70% fair 1.44 best 1.40 · Bet365 30% fair 3.29 best 3.05 · Betano Home 70% · Away 50%
Union La Calera Huachipato Primera Division Chile · prices updated 70% fair 1.44 best 1.40 · Betano 30% fair 3.28 best 3.25 · Bet365 Home 80% · Away 70%
IF Brommapojkarna Mjallby AIF Allsvenskan · prices updated 68% fair 1.47 best 1.44 · Bet365 32% fair 3.12 best 2.69 · 1xBet Home 70% · Away 90%
Aris Thessalonikis Panetolikos Greek Super League · prices updated 68% fair 1.48 best 1.45 · Betano 32% fair 3.08 best 2.87 · Betano Home 60% · Away 70%
Orgryte IS Vasteras SK FK Allsvenskan · prices updated 67% fair 1.49 best 1.50 · Bet365 33% fair 3.02 best 2.60 · BetVictor Home 70% · Away 80%
IFK Goteborg Malmo FF Allsvenskan · prices updated 64% fair 1.55 best 1.50 · Bet365 36% fair 2.81 best 2.55 · Betano Home 80% · Away 90%
Gornik Zabrze Wieczysta Kraków Ekstraklasa · prices updated 64% fair 1.57 best 1.55 · Betano 36% fair 2.74 best 2.40 · Betano Home 80% · Away 70%
Aarhus AC Horsens Danish Superliga · prices updated 62% fair 1.61 best 1.52 · BetVictor 38% fair 2.63 best 2.62 · Betano Home 80% · Away 50%
Odense Viborg Danish Superliga · prices updated 61% fair 1.65 best 1.57 · Bet365 39% fair 2.54 best 2.47 · Betano Home 70% · Away 70%
AEK Athens FC Levadiakos Greek Super League · prices updated 58% fair 1.71 best 1.65 · Betano 42% fair 2.40 best 2.32 · Betano Home 60% · Away 90%
AIK Stockholm BK Hacken Allsvenskan · prices updated 58% fair 1.71 best 1.67 · Bet365 42% fair 2.40 best 2.18 · Betano Home 40% · Away 70%
Jagiellonia GKS Katowice Ekstraklasa · prices updated 57% fair 1.75 best 1.67 · Betano 43% fair 2.34 best 2.18 · Betano Home 60% · Away 50%
Randers FC FC Nordsjaelland Danish Superliga · prices updated 55% fair 1.81 best 1.77 · 1xBet 45% fair 2.23 best 2.25 · Betano Home 70% · Away 50%
Universidad de Chile Cobresal Primera Division Chile · prices updated 53% fair 1.89 best 1.82 · Betano 47% fair 2.13 best 2.05 · Betano Home 60% · Away 60%
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