First-half goals predictions this weekend

Probabilities come from Pinnacle's first-half over/under 1.5 prices with the bookmaker margin removed (the 0.5 line has a sharp price on too few matches to list). We read them every 3 hours; the source sometimes updates a price only every few hours, so each row shows its age. A bookmaker above the fair price is not a value flag here. Top leagues first; within a league, the most likely first. Last-10 form is the share of the team's last 10 matches with two or more first-half goals; a number in brackets is how many matches it comes from when fewer than 10. All lines are on each match page.