We log each prediction before kick-off — odds and all — and never touch it again. Wins and losses, in the open. Measured by closing line value — one of the strongest publicly measurable leading indicators of a long-term edge.
Filtered view — 432 predictions match.
odds we took vs the closing line — the sharp benchmark
The full record is published daily to an external, append-only public log (Git history + OpenTimestamps), so it is independently verifiable — not even we can rewrite a past record undetectably. Verify on the public log →
External independent verification has been active since 20 June 2026. Earlier records are preserved in our internal ledger but were not externally timestamped before kick-off.
✈ Follow the live audit on Telegram| Date | Match | Value bet | Soft odds | Fair | Close | CLV | Result | Profit |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nautico Recife — Goias · Brazil Serie B | 1 · Nautico Recife | 1.91 | 1.83 | 1.90 | +0.5% | Lost | -1.00 | |
| Atletico Goianiense — Ponte Preta · Brazil Serie B | 1 · Atletico Goianiense | 1.55 | 1.52 | 1.34 | +15.7% | Won | +0.55 | |
| Thor Akureyri — Valur Reykjavik · Urvalsdeild | 2 · Valur Reykjavik | 2.02 | 1.96 | 1.75 | +15.4% | Won | +1.02 | |
| FH hafnarfjordur — IBV Vestmannaeyjar · Urvalsdeild | 2 · IBV Vestmannaeyjar | 2.95 | 2.73 | 3.01 | -2.0% | Lost | -1.00 | |
| Qingdao Youth Island — Hangzhou Greentown · China Super League | 2 · Hangzhou Greentown | 2.89 | 2.69 | 2.66 | +8.6% | Lost | -1.00 | |
| Sogndal — Egersund · Norway 1. Division | 1 · Sogndal | 2.45 | 2.44 | 2.16 | +13.4% | Won | +1.45 | |
| AC Oulu — Lahti · Veikkausliiga | 2 · Lahti | 3.54 | 3.32 | 3.57 | -0.8% | Lost | -1.00 | |
| Gnistan — VPS · Veikkausliiga | 1 · Gnistan | 2.94 | 2.81 | 2.69 | +9.3% | Lost | -1.00 | |
| Turku PS — FF Jaro · Veikkausliiga | 1 · Turku PS | 2.28 | 2.26 | 2.05 | +11.2% | Won | +1.28 | |
| Völsungur — Grotta · 1. Deild | 1 · Völsungur | 3.60 | 3.33 | 3.34 | +7.8% | Lost | -1.00 | |
| Strommen — Moss · Norway 1. Division | 2 · Moss | 2.46 | 2.44 | 2.31 | +6.5% | Lost | -1.00 | |
| Sandnes ULF — Raufoss · Norway 1. Division | 1 · Sandnes ULF | 1.83 | 1.82 | 1.71 | +7.0% | Won | +0.83 | |
| Haugesund — Kongsvinger · Norway 1. Division | 1 · Haugesund | 2.10 | 2.09 | 2.19 | -4.1% | Won | +1.10 | |
| HJK Helsinki — KuPS · Veikkausliiga | 2 · KuPS | 3.00 | 2.89 | 2.98 | +0.7% | Won | +2.00 | |
| Chongqing Tongliang Long — Tianjin Teda · China Super League | 1 · Chongqing Tongliang Long | 2.17 | 2.03 | 2.13 | +1.9% | Won | +1.17 | |
| Beijing Guoan — Wuhan Three Towns · China Super League | 1 · Beijing Guoan | 1.42 | 1.41 | 1.26 | +12.7% | Won | +0.42 | |
| Ilves — SJK · Veikkausliiga | 2 · SJK | 3.03 | 2.99 | 3.07 | -1.3% | Lost | -1.00 | |
| Shenyang Urban — Shandong Luneng · China Super League | 2 · Shandong Luneng | 2.35 | 2.30 | 2.44 | -3.7% | Won | +1.35 | |
| Leiknir R. — IR Reykjavik · 1. Deild | 1 · Leiknir R. | 2.63 | 2.52 | 2.51 | +4.8% | Won | +1.63 | |
| Fylkir — HK Kopavogur · 1. Deild | 1 · Fylkir | 1.85 | 1.83 | 1.72 | +7.6% | Lost | -1.00 | |
| Bohemians — St Patrick's Athl. · Premier Division | 2 · St Patrick's Athl. | 2.95 | 2.81 | 3.19 | -7.5% | Lost | -1.00 | |
| Athlone Town — Finn Harps · First Division Ireland | 1 · Athlone Town | 1.94 | 1.89 | 1.67 | +16.2% | Lost | -1.00 | |
| Derry City — Drogheda United · Premier Division | 1 · Derry City | 1.73 | 1.67 | 1.56 | +10.9% | Won | +0.73 | |
| Breidablik — Vikingur Reykjavik · Urvalsdeild | 2 · Vikingur Reykjavik | 1.91 | 1.87 | 1.53 | +24.8% | Won | +0.91 | |
| America Mineiro — Criciuma · Brazil Serie B | 2 · Criciuma | 2.70 | 2.57 | 2.51 | +7.6% | Won | +1.70 | |
| Mariehamn — HJK Helsinki · Veikkausliiga | 2 · HJK Helsinki | 1.42 | 1.40 | 1.33 | +6.8% | Won | +0.42 | |
| FF Jaro — Gnistan · Veikkausliiga | 1 · FF Jaro | 3.10 | 2.86 | 3.50 | -11.4% | Lost | -1.00 | |
| VPS — AC Oulu · Veikkausliiga | 1 · VPS | 2.83 | 2.68 | 2.00 | +41.5% | Won | +1.83 | |
| Lahti — Turku PS · Veikkausliiga | 1 · Lahti | 2.00 | 1.88 | 1.82 | +9.9% | Lost | -1.00 | |
| KuPS — Ilves · Veikkausliiga | 1 · KuPS | 1.78 | 1.61 | 1.64 | +8.5% | Won | +0.78 | |
| Ponte Preta — Novorizontino · Brazil Serie B | 2 · Novorizontino | 2.10 | 1.96 | 1.96 | +7.1% | Won | +1.10 | |
| Oddevold — Ljungskile SK · Superettan | 2 · Ljungskile SK | 3.60 | 3.33 | 3.77 | -4.5% | Lost | -1.00 | |
| São Bernardo — Juventude · Brazil Serie B | X · Draw | 3.05 | 3.03 | 2.92 | +4.5% | Lost | -1.00 | |
| Ægir — Throttur Reykjavik · 1. Deild | 2 · Throttur Reykjavik | 1.58 | 1.51 | 1.34 | +17.9% | Won | +0.58 | |
| HK Kopavogur — Grindavik · 1. Deild | 1 · HK Kopavogur | 1.78 | 1.68 | 1.55 | +14.8% | Lost | -1.00 | |
| Temperley — San Martin Tucuman · Primera Nacional | 1 · Temperley | 2.55 | 2.51 | 2.42 | +5.4% | Lost | -1.00 | |
| CRB — Fortaleza EC · Brazil Serie B | 1 · CRB | 2.35 | 2.32 | 2.45 | -4.1% | Lost | -1.00 | |
| Norrby IF — United Nordic · Superettan | 2 · United Nordic | 2.55 | 2.51 | 2.38 | +7.1% | Lost | -1.00 | |
| Vestri — Afturelding · 1. Deild | 2 · Afturelding | 2.05 | 2.01 | 1.93 | +6.2% | Lost | -1.00 | |
| Egersund — Haugesund · Norway 1. Division | 2 · Haugesund | 2.28 | 2.22 | 1.97 | +15.7% | Lost | -1.00 | |
| Bryne — Asane · Norway 1. Division | 1 · Bryne | 1.58 | 1.55 | 1.48 | +6.8% | Won | +0.58 | |
| Avai — Cuiaba · Brazil Serie B | 1 · Avai | 2.53 | 2.44 | 2.98 | -15.1% | Won | +1.53 | |
| Osters IF — Falkenbergs FF · Superettan | 1 · Osters IF | 2.32 | 2.26 | 2.31 | +0.4% | Lost | -1.00 | |
| Almeria — Malaga · Segunda Division | 1 · Almeria | 2.25 | 2.16 | 2.19 | +2.7% | Lost | -1.00 | |
| Nueva Chicago — Atletico DE Rafaela · Primera Nacional | X · Draw | 2.80 | 2.67 | 2.54 | +10.2% | Won | +1.80 | |
| Londrina — Athletic Club · Brazil Serie B | 1 · Londrina | 2.45 | 2.38 | 2.46 | -0.4% | Won | +1.45 | |
| Drogheda United — Shelbourne · Premier Division | 2 · Shelbourne | 2.07 | 2.03 | 2.00 | +3.5% | Lost | -1.00 | |
| Universidad de Chile — O'Higgins · Primera Division Chile | 1 · Universidad de Chile | 1.95 | 1.93 | 1.91 | +2.1% | Won | +0.95 | |
| Sport Recife — Atletico Goianiense · Brazil Serie B | 1 · Sport Recife | 2.20 | 2.18 | 2.00 | +10.0% | Lost | -1.00 | |
| Vestri — Ægir · 1. Deild | 1 · Vestri | 1.73 | 1.61 | 1.64 | +5.5% | Won | +0.73 |
Nothing here is cherry-picked. Each row was written to our database before the match started and is immutable. CLV — beating the closing price of a sharp bookmaker — is the metric most strongly shown to correlate with a real long-term edge; win rate and short-run profit are mostly noise until the sample is large.