We log each prediction before kick-off — odds and all — and never touch it again. Wins and losses, in the open. Measured by closing line value — one of the strongest publicly measurable leading indicators of a long-term edge.
18 predictions voided (match postponed, cancelled or never played) — excluded from every figure on this page, never deleted from the ledger.
Filtered view — 1832 predictions match.
odds we took vs the closing line — the sharp benchmark
The full record is published daily to an external, append-only public log (Git history + OpenTimestamps), so it is independently verifiable — not even we can rewrite a past record undetectably. Verify on the public log →
External independent verification has been active since 20 June 2026. Earlier records are preserved in our internal ledger but were not externally timestamped before kick-off.
✈ Follow the live audit on Telegram| Date | Match | Value bet | Soft odds | Fair | Close | CLV | Result | Profit |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Barcelona — Feyenoord · UEFA Champions League | 1 · Barcelona | 1.15 | 1.12 | 1.08 | +6.5% | Won | +0.15 | |
| HJK Helsinki — Inter Turku · Veikkausliiga | 1 · HJK Helsinki | 2.75 | 2.73 | 2.54 | +8.3% | Won | +1.75 | |
| Fernando De La Mora — Deportivo Capiata · Paraguay Division Intermedia | 2 · Deportivo Capiata | 3.25 | 2.93 | 2.61 | +24.5% | Lost | -1.00 | |
| Boca Juniors — Sao Paulo · Copa Sudamericana | 1 · Boca Juniors | 1.84 | 1.81 | 1.87 | -1.6% | Won | +0.84 | |
| Cuiaba — Athletic Club · Brazil Serie B | 1 · Cuiaba | 1.96 | 1.86 | 1.94 | +1.0% | Won | +0.96 | |
| Santa Fe — Vasco DA Gama · Copa Sudamericana | 2 · Vasco DA Gama | 3.34 | 3.17 | 3.82 | -12.6% | Lost | -1.00 | |
| Lille — Real Betis · UEFA Champions League | 1 · Lille | 2.33 | 2.29 | 2.15 | +8.4% | Lost | -1.00 | |
| Bolton — West Ham · Championship | 2 · West Ham | 1.78 | 1.61 | 1.75 | +1.7% | Won | +0.78 | |
| Blackburn — Sheffield Utd · Championship | 2 · Sheffield Utd | 2.60 | 2.35 | 2.48 | +4.8% | Won | +1.60 | |
| Cardiff — Stoke City · Championship | 1 · Cardiff | 2.30 | 2.05 | 2.13 | +8.0% | Lost | -1.00 | |
| Southampton — Swansea · Championship | 1 · Southampton | 1.97 | 1.93 | 1.85 | +6.5% | Won | +0.97 | |
| Atlanta United II — Connecticut FC · MLS Next Pro | 1 · Atlanta United II | 2.20 | 2.17 | 2.03 | +8.4% | Won | +1.20 | |
| Club Brugge KV — Aston Villa · UEFA Champions League | 1 · Club Brugge KV | 2.88 | 2.77 | 2.56 | +12.5% | Lost | -1.00 | |
| Kiffen — Atlantis · Kakkonen | 1 · Kiffen | 1.92 | 1.91 | 1.63 | +17.8% | Won | +0.92 | |
| Gnistan — KuPS · Veikkausliiga | 2 · KuPS | 2.08 | 2.00 | 1.94 | +7.2% | Lost | -1.00 | |
| PEPO — HIFK Helsinki · Kakkonen | 1 · PEPO | 1.89 | 1.82 | 1.57 | +20.4% | Won | +0.89 | |
| Lahti — Mariehamn · Veikkausliiga | 1 · Lahti | 1.63 | 1.58 | 1.54 | +5.8% | Won | +0.63 | |
| 3 de Noviembre — SOL DE America · Paraguay Division Intermedia | 1 · 3 de Noviembre | 3.35 | 3.15 | 2.78 | +20.5% | Won | +2.35 | |
| Deportes Limache — Cobresal · Primera Division Chile | 1 · Deportes Limache | 1.75 | 1.74 | 1.60 | +9.4% | Won | +0.75 | |
| Elche — Real Sociedad · La Liga | 2 · Real Sociedad | 2.48 | 2.47 | 2.36 | +5.1% | Won | +1.48 | |
| Nantes — Nancy · Ligue 2 | 1 · Nantes | 2.02 | 1.95 | 1.93 | +4.7% | Won | +1.02 | |
| Udinese — Lazio · Serie A | 2 · Lazio | 2.75 | 2.73 | 2.80 | -1.8% | Won | +1.75 | |
| Universitatea Craiova — Universitatea Cluj · Romania Liga I | 1 · Universitatea Craiova | 1.68 | 1.63 | 1.61 | +4.3% | Won | +0.68 | |
| Getafe — Celta Vigo · La Liga | X · Draw | 3.00 | 2.96 | 2.70 | +11.1% | Won | +2.00 | |
| Žalgiris II — Neptūną Klaipėda · Lithuania 1 Lyga | 2 · Neptūną Klaipėda | 2.30 | 2.20 | 1.92 | +19.8% | Lost | -1.00 | |
| FC Midtjylland — FC Nordsjaelland · Danish Superliga | 1 · FC Midtjylland | 2.05 | 2.03 | 2.00 | +2.5% | Lost | -1.00 | |
| Cagliari — Lecce · Serie A | 1 · Cagliari | 2.17 | 2.07 | 2.33 | -6.9% | Won | +1.17 | |
| Rīgas FS — FK Liepaja · Latvia Virsliga | 1 · Rīgas FS | 1.37 | 1.34 | 1.31 | +4.6% | Lost | -1.00 | |
| Riga — BFC Daugavpils · Latvia Virsliga | 1 · Riga | 1.35 | 1.31 | 1.20 | +12.5% | Lost | -1.00 | |
| Wieczysta Kraków — Zaglebie Lubin · Ekstraklasa | 1 · Wieczysta Kraków | 2.10 | 1.95 | 1.93 | +8.8% | Lost | -1.00 | |
| Klubi-04 — KäPa · Ykkösliiga | 1 · Klubi-04 | 2.02 | 1.99 | 2.19 | -7.8% | Lost | -1.00 | |
| Žilina II — Slovan Bratislava II · Slovakia 2. Liga | 2 · Slovan Bratislava II | 3.50 | 3.23 | 2.77 | +26.4% | Lost | -1.00 | |
| FC Voluntari — Arges Pitesti · Romania Liga I | 2 · Arges Pitesti | 2.55 | 2.49 | 2.87 | -11.1% | Lost | -1.00 | |
| Santa Fe — Fortaleza FC · Primera A | 1 · Santa Fe | 1.80 | 1.69 | 1.78 | +1.1% | Lost | -1.00 | |
| Liverpool Montevideo — Boston River · Uruguay Primera Division | 1 · Liverpool Montevideo | 1.97 | 1.90 | 1.81 | +8.8% | Won | +0.97 | |
| Ponte Preta — São Bernardo · Brazil Serie B | 2 · São Bernardo | 1.23 | 1.17 | 1.39 | -11.5% | Won | +0.23 | |
| Cucuta — Deportivo Pasto · Primera A | 1 · Cucuta | 2.30 | 2.28 | 2.23 | +3.1% | Lost | -1.00 | |
| Juan Pablo II College — Alianza Lima · Peru Liga 1 | 2 · Alianza Lima | 1.89 | 1.81 | 1.68 | +12.5% | Lost | -1.00 | |
| Orense SC — Guayaquil City FC · Ecuador LigaPro | 1 · Orense SC | 1.88 | 1.81 | 1.88 | +0.0% | Won | +0.88 | |
| Tecnico Universitario — LDU de Quito · Ecuador LigaPro | 2 · LDU de Quito | 2.10 | 2.08 | 2.03 | +3.4% | Won | +1.10 | |
| Platense — Deportivo Riestra · Argentina Liga Profesional | 1 · Platense | 2.53 | 2.45 | 2.89 | -12.5% | Lost | -1.00 | |
| Lanus — Defensa Y Justicia · Argentina Liga Profesional | 1 · Lanus | 1.93 | 1.88 | 1.84 | +4.9% | Won | +0.93 | |
| Gimnasia M. — Boca Juniors · Argentina Liga Profesional | 2 · Boca Juniors | 2.15 | 2.12 | 1.28 | +68.0% | Lost | -1.00 | |
| Central Cordoba de Santiago — Independiente · Argentina Liga Profesional | X · Draw | 3.25 | 3.18 | 3.12 | +4.2% | Lost | -1.00 | |
| Barracas Central — Argentinos JRS · Argentina Liga Profesional | 2 · Argentinos JRS | 2.33 | 2.18 | 2.10 | +11.0% | Lost | -1.00 | |
| Aldosivi — Banfield · Argentina Liga Profesional | 1 · Aldosivi | 2.77 | 2.71 | 2.87 | -3.5% | Won | +1.77 | |
| Espanyol — Sevilla · La Liga | 1 · Espanyol | 2.44 | 2.37 | 2.40 | +1.7% | Lost | -1.00 | |
| Vojvodina — Zemun · Serbia Super Liga | 1 · Vojvodina | 1.21 | 1.19 | 1.15 | +5.2% | Won | +0.21 | |
| Remo — Flamengo · Brazil Serie A | 2 · Flamengo | 1.60 | 1.53 | 1.47 | +8.8% | Won | +0.60 | |
| Juventus — AC Milan · Serie A | 1 · Juventus | 2.16 | 2.14 | 2.28 | -5.3% | Lost | -1.00 |
Nothing here is cherry-picked. Each row was written to our database before the match started and is immutable. CLV — beating the closing price of a sharp bookmaker — is the metric most strongly shown to correlate with a real long-term edge; win rate and short-run profit are mostly noise until the sample is large.